Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, May 29, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+120) Philadelphia (-144)

The Philadelphia Phillies (35-19) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (25-28) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at +120 while Philadelphia is sitting at -144. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Chris Sale and Cristopher Sanchez.

Atlanta has a slugging rate of .392 and have been called out on strikes 439 times, while drawing a walk on 174 occasions. They have accounted for 207 RBI's and 437 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .248. The Braves have accrued 74 doubles as a team and have smacked 56 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 216 runs while holding a team OBP of .319. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.60 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.23. Braves pitchers have surrendered 60 home runs and also 205 total runs (11th in MLB). Atlanta has relinquished 400 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) and 191 earned runs. The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 3.74 on the campaign (14th in the league), and they have rung up 437 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 168 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.09 as a unit this season.

Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 51 times as well as having 64 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 26 holds this season (26th in baseball). The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 50.0% and have entered the game in 46 save situations. They have recorded 10 saves this year and have blown 10 of their 20 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 65 base runners this season with 35.4% of them crossed the plate. The Braves have sent 161 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Athletics are sitting with 1,380 putouts for the season, as well as 476 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which is 6th in professional baseball, and they have turned 37 double plays. The Braves have transformed 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of 4,140 innings on the field, which has them ranked 8th in MLB.

Sale has taken the ball for 2,019 frames and has accumulated 2,492 strikeouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.05 (684 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.052. He has conceded 1,653 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) with 471 walks. Sale (140-86 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.00 while facing 8,141 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Phillies have a team SLG% of .411 and they score 4.91 runs per outing (6th in baseball). They have put up 84 two-baggers, while walking 197 times as well as putting up 260 runs. Philadelphia has tallied 58 HRs over the course of the season as well as 246 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 416 occasions (22nd in the league) and have 475 base knocks. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated a team OBP of .336 and a batting average of .261 for the year.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.258 in addition to having a FIP of 3.39 as a squad so far this season. They are currently ranked 17th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 444. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 218 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.72 (197 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.80 (520 strikeouts vs 155 walks). They have surrendered 52 long balls and they allow 4.12 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

With 57 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 29 holds and 9 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 27 save chances and they have tallied 18 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 58 times in high leverage situations and also on 35 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.0% out of 50 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 9th in the league holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 169 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season.

In their 4,290 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (25th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 37 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in pro baseball). The Phillies have 457 assists, 21 errors and have a total of 1,430 putouts this year.

Sanchez (21-17 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.63 earned run average and has given up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.48 and he has faced 1,616 hitters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 156 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.229 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. During his pro baseball career, Sanchez has conceded 372 base knocks and he has 362 strikeouts in 387 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-144) and under 8.5 runs

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