Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+162) Philadelphia (-196)

The Atlanta Braves (60-72) are traveling to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (76-56). The odds on this game have the Braves at +162 and the Phillies are opening at -196. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Cal Quantrill and Aaron Nola.

Atlanta has a slugging rate of .393 and have been called out on strikes 1,143 times, while being walked on 473 occasions. They have amassed 562 RBI's as well as 1,094 hits on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .244. The Braves have hit 200 doubles as a team and have knocked 147 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 582 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .320. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 4.35 so far this season (22nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,135 hitters. Braves pitchers have given up 156 long balls in addition to 595 total runs (20th in MLB). They have walked 442 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.20 as a team over the course of the season. Atlanta has yielded 1,086 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 565 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31.

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 133 times in addition to having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 56 holds on the year (26th in the league). The Braves bullpen have compiled a save rate of 60.5% and have come into the game in 99 save situations. They have recorded 26 saves so far this season and have blown 17 of their 43 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 176 base runners so far this year and 38.1% of those players crossed home plate. The Braves have sent 423 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Athletics have accumulated 3,506 putouts this season, in addition to 1,134 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which is 2nd in baseball, and have accumulated 91 double plays. The Braves have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,518 innings on the field, ranking them 16th in MLB.

Quantrill has taken the ball for 833 innings and has totaled 622 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.27 (395 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.329. He has surrendered 838 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 269 free passes. Quantrill (47-45 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.20 while facing 3,558 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

Philadelphia has a total of 161 home runs so far this year as well as 600 RBIs. They have put up 220 doubles, while getting a free base 434 times and recording 625 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a team on-base percentage of .327 as well as a team batting average of .257 so far this year. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .422 and they score 4.73 runs per game (9th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,062 occasions (20th in MLB) and have totaled 1,155 hits.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.240 with a FIP of 3.67 as a staff this season. They come in at 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,095. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 535 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.83 (499 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (1,217 strikeouts vs 357 bases on balls). They have surrendered 143 homers and they surrender 4.11 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).

Sitting with 123 save situations, the Phillies have earned 65 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have walked away with 36 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 137 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.6% of 131 inherited base runners. They are ranked 9th in baseball holding a save rate of 64.3%, and they have dispatched 410 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

In 10,542 innings played, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (25th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 81 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,127 assists, 51 errors and are sitting with 3,514 putouts this season.

Nola (106-86 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.80 ERA and has surrendered 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.19 and he has faced 6,894 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed 709 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.151 and a FIP of 3.7. So far in his pro baseball career, Nola has surrendered 1,494 hits while he has totaled 1,841 strikeouts in 1,679 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+162)

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