Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 5/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-132) Pittsburgh (+110)

The Atlanta Braves (17-19) are hitting the road to PNC Park on Saturday where they will compete against the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-26). The odds on this game have the Braves at -132 and the Pirates open at +110. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are AJ Smith-Shawver and Andrew Heaney.

Atlanta is slugging .388 and have been rung up 310 times, while being walked on 122 occasions. They have compiled 138 runs batted in and 290 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is .240. The Braves have recorded 51 doubles as a team and have hit 41 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 144 runs and have an on-base percentage of .313. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, which has them at 19th in the league.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Braves pitchers have yielded 44 home runs and also 146 total runs (11th in MLB). Atlanta has yielded 271 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 141 earned runs. The Braves have an earned run average of 4.02 for the year (17th in the league), and their staff has rung up 312 batters. They have walked 123 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.20 as a team on the season.

The Braves relievers have recorded a save percentage of 58.3% and have entered the game in 25 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 47 base runners so far this season and 34.0% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 36 times in addition to having 41 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 112 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have tallied 13 holds for the year (25th in the league). They have accumulated 7 saves on the year and have missed out on 5 out of their 12 chances to get a save.

The Braves have converted 71.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,838 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in baseball. The Athletics have a tally of 946 putouts thus far, as well as 317 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is at .990 which has them sitting 1st in the majors, and they have turned 24 double plays.

Smith-Shawver has pitched in 56 innings and is sitting with 51 K's during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.36 (21 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.246. He has given up 44 base knocks (7.0 hits per 9 innings) with 26 walks. Smith-Shawver (3-2 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.31 while he has gone up against 237 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have recorded a team on-base percentage of .300 as well as a batting average of .219 on the campaign. They have struck out on 322 occasions (8th in the league) and have recorded 274 base hits. Pittsburgh has hit 26 home runs over the course of the season as well as 116 RBIs. The Pirates hold a slugging % of .325 and they average 3.11 runs per contest (30th in MLB). They have 44 doubles, while taking a walk 135 times as well as earning 118 runs.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.278 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.00 as a staff so far this season. They rank 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 313. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 175 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.31 (162 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.50 (283 strikeouts against 119 walks). They have surrendered 36 long balls and they relinquish 4.66 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league).

Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 13 save chances and they have come away with 7 saves. They are ranked 24th in baseball with a save rate of 53.8%, and they have sent 126 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 38 times in high leverage situations and also on 37 occasions with runners on. Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.2% of 59 inherited base runners. With 32 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 19 holds in addition to 6 blown saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 36 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (26th in MLB). The Pirates have racked up 347 assists, 27 errors and have accounted for 1,015 putouts so far this year. In their 3,045 innings played, the Pirates have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (17th in baseball).

Heaney (53-65 career record) has a 4.41 ERA and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.54 and he has gone up against 4,491 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 516 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.260 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. So far in his pro baseball career, Heaney has surrendered 1,015 hits while he has accumulated 1,104 punch outs in 1,053 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-132)

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