Atlanta Braves vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 7/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Thursday, July 10, 2025

Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-130) Sacramento (+110)

The Sacramento Athletics (37-55) host the Atlanta Braves (39-50) at Sutter Health Park on Thursday. The line on this contest has the Braves at -130 and the Athletics are priced at +110. The over/under is 9. The men taking the mound will be Spencer Strider and JP Sears.

The Braves have accounted for 123 doubles as a team and have knocked 92 balls out of the park. Atlanta is slugging .381 and have been called out on strikes 771 times, while drawing a walk on 308 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.0 runs per contest, which is 24th in the league. They have recorded 344 runs batted in as well as 731 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .243. They have notched a total of 357 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .317.

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The Braves have an earned run average of 3.77 this season (11th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 819 hitters. Braves pitchers have surrendered 99 home runs in addition to 353 total runs (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 288 opposing players and their FIP is 3.88 as a team this year. Atlanta has allowed 685 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 330 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.84 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Braves have dispatched 277 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 123 runners for the season and 34.1% of them crossed home plate. They have compiled 12 saves this season and have blown 12 of 24 save chances. The Braves bullpen have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 56 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 32 holds over the course of the season (30th in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 91 times and also have had 85 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Athletics have amassed 2,362 putouts on the year, in addition to 776 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which is 2nd in the majors, and have 62 double plays. The Braves have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,086 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 13th in pro baseball.

Strider (35-17 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.48 while he has gone up against 1,570 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 287 base hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 130 free passes. His ERA is 3.54 (151 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.085. Strider has pitched in 384 innings and has accounted for 558 K's during his MLB career.

The Athletics hold a slugging % of .412 and they score 4.17 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have tallied 151 two-baggers, while getting a free base 298 times and putting up 384 runs. Sacramento has 113 home runs on the season as well as 371 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 778 occasions (12th in MLB) and have recorded 776 base hits. The Sacramento Athletics have a team on-base percentage of .316 as well as a team batting average of .248 for the year.

The Sacramento pitching staff have conceded 524 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 5.32 (482 earned runs conceded). They have given up 135 homers and they concede 5.79 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.472 and have a FIP of 4.90 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.10 (731 strikeouts against 343 free passes). They sit at 29th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 857.

Sacramento relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.3% out of their 150 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 92 times in high leverage situations and on 105 occasions with base runners. With 76 save situations, the Athletics have 38 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They rank 24th in the league with a save rate of 55.3%, and they have dispatched 294 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the year. Sacramento has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 38 save chances and they have walked away with 21 saves.

The Sacramento Athletics have turned 58 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in pro baseball). The Athletics have recorded 673 assists, 62 errors and have accumulated 2,445 putouts so far this year. In 7,335 innings played, the Athletics are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (28th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Sears has surrendered 498 hits and he has 422 K's in 515 innings. He has allowed 254 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.256 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.83 and he has faced 2,176 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Sears (29-37 career record) has earned a 4.44 ERA and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento (+110)

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