Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 7/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+172) Texas (-210)

The Atlanta Braves (44-57) are en route to Globe Life Field on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Texas Rangers (53-50). The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at +172 while Texas is at -210. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers will be Bryce Elder and Jack Leiter.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 22nd in the league. They have 418 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .317. The Braves have accounted for 148 doubles as a squad and have smacked 110 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 405 RBI's as well as 833 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .243. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .388 and have been rung up 875 times, while drawing a walk on 348 occasions.

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The Braves have a team earned run average of 4.05 on the season (18th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 921 hitters. Braves pitchers have relinquished 120 home runs in addition to 428 runs in total (13th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 333 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.04 as a team this year. Atlanta has conceded 797 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 403 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.77 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.26.

The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 48.3% and have come into the game in 66 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 135 base runners this season and 37.8% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 100 times as well as having 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 323 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen have 37 holds on the year (30th in MLB). They have earned 14 saves this season and have blown 15 out of their 29 chances to save the game.

The Athletics have a tally of 2,684 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 871 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .990 which puts them in 2nd in MLB, and have accumulated 69 double plays. The Braves have turned 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,052 innings, which ranks them 12th in MLB.

Elder (20-19 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.45 while he has faced 1,566 hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 368 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 134 free passes. His earned run average is 4.52 (182 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.386. Elder has thrown 362 innings and has earned 291 punch outs in his MLB career.

The Rangers have a team slugging % of .375 and they are earning 4.03 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have put up 150 two-baggers, while getting a free base 301 times and putting up 415 runs. Texas has compiled 110 home runs on the campaign as well as 398 RBIs. They have been rung up on 855 occasions (14th in the league) and have recorded 788 base hits. The Texas Rangers have earned an on-base percentage of .298 as well as a team batting average of .230 on the season.

The Rangers have a team WHIP of 1.158 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.63 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.10 (827 strikeouts against 289 walks). They are sitting at 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 771. They have conceded 92 homers and they relinquish 3.48 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Texas pitching staff have conceded 354 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.16 (321 earned runs allowed).

Texas has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 44 save chances and they have recorded 27 saves. They sit at 17th in baseball with a save rate of 61.4%, and they have dispatched 320 relievers to the mound this year. Their relievers have come in 120 times in high leverage situations and also on 106 occasions with runners on. Texas bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.9% out of 152 inherited base runners. With 105 save situations, the Rangers have 58 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

In their 8,238 innings played, the Rangers have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.2% (1st in MLB). The Texas Rangers have turned 79 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .991 (1st in the majors). The Rangers have accrued 907 assists, 32 errors and have accounted for 2,746 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Leiter has given up 119 base hits while earning 107 punch outs in 121 innings. Leiter (6-9 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 5.64 ERA and has given up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 76 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.467 and having a FIP of 5.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.81 and he has faced 546 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (-210)

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