Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Date: Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-132) Washington (+110)

The Washington Nationals (62-88) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (67-83) at Nationals Park on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Atlanta at -132 and Washington is sitting at +110. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Hurston Waldrep and Brad Lord.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.4 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 15th in the league. They have racked up 657 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .317. The Braves have accumulated 225 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 170 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 635 RBI's and 1,240 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate is at .243. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .394 and have struck out 1,277 times, while taking a walk on 519 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.59 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32. Braves pitchers have conceded 184 home runs and 695 runs in total (21st in baseball). Atlanta has allowed 1,247 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 657 earned runs. The Braves have a team ERA of 4.45 for the year (23rd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,300 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 502 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.27 as a unit this year.

The Braves have dispatched 482 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 206 base runners so far this year and 39.8% of them crossed home plate. They have accumulated 29 saves so far this year and have blown 20 out of their 49 chances to save the game. The Braves relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 59.2% and have come into the game in 110 save situations. The relievers have 61 holds so far this season (28th in the league). Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 152 times as well as having 156 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Athletics have a tally of 3,987 putouts for the season, as well as 1,266 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which is 2nd in pro baseball, and have 99 double plays. The Braves have transformed 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,961 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 18th in MLB.

Waldrep (4-2 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.59 while he has faced 220 hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 44 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 26 free passes. His earned run average is 4.66 (27 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.344. Waldrep has taken the hill for 52 innings and has accounted for 45 punch outs so far in his career.

Washington has accounted for 143 HRs so far this year as well as 614 runs batted in. They have hit 245 two-baggers, while walking 422 times and racking up 640 runs. The Washington Nationals are sitting with an on-base percentage of .307 as well as a team batting average of .244 so far this season. The Nationals hold a slugging % of .389 and they are recording 4.27 runs per game (21st in MLB). They have been rung up on 1,219 occasions (23rd in the league) and have recorded 1,221 base knocks.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.435 with a FIP of 4.71 as a team so far this year. They are sitting at 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,366. The Washington pitching staff have conceded 822 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 5.32 (777 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.80 (1,145 strikeouts against 521 walks). They have allowed 195 homers and they concede 5.63 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

Washington has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 50 save chances and they have come away with 33 saves. They sit at 7th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.0%, and they have dispatched 534 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 118 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with base runners. Washington relievers have an inherited score rate of 39.8% out of their 251 inherited base runners. Sitting with 120 save situations, the Nationals have accumulated 69 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Washington Nationals have turned 121 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in pro baseball). The Nationals have accrued 1,290 assists, 85 errors and have a tally of 3,946 putouts so far this season. In 11,838 innings played, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (27th in baseball).

Lord (5-8 career mark) holds a 4.22 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.46 and he has faced 482 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 54 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 4.2. During his pro baseball career, Lord has surrendered 111 hits while earning 96 strikeouts in 115 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-132)

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