Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Atlanta (-132)

The Atlanta Braves (39-46) will play the Baltimore Orioles (37-49) at Truist Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Orioles at +110 and the Braves are at -132. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Dean Kremer and Grant Holmes.

The Orioles have hit 133 doubles as a team and have knocked 101 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore is slugging .399 and have struck out 756 times, while drawing a walk on 242 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have accounted for 336 RBI's as well as 692 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average is at .240. They have accounted for 357 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .306.

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The Orioles have a team earned run average of 5.01 on the year (27th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 705 hitters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 119 home runs and 444 runs in total (27th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 280 opposing players and their FIP is 4.49 as a team over the course of the season. Baltimore has yielded 801 base knocks (9.6 per 9 innings) and 420 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.43.

The Orioles relievers have a save percentage of 61.3% and stepped onto the hill in 98 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 133 base runners so far this year and 18.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Orioles relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 99 times as well as having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 304 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have racked up 64 holds so far this year (2nd in MLB). They have recorded 19 saves for the season and have missed out on 12 out of their 31 save opportunities.

The Orioles have turned 67.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,789 innings, which has them sitting at 29th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 2,263 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 749 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them sitting 24th in baseball, and they have turned 61 double plays.

Kremer has taken the hill for 597 innings and has 514 strikeouts in his MLB career. Kremer (37-37 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.22 while facing 2,536 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.28 (284 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.313. He has surrendered 582 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 202 free passes.

Atlanta has hit 87 HRs for the year to go along with 334 runs batted in. They have put up 117 doubles, while taking a walk 299 times as well as scoring 347 runs. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an on-base percentage of .319 and a team batting average of .244 this season. The Braves have a slugging percentage of .382 and they average 4.08 runs per outing (24th in the league). They have struck out on 731 occasions (12th in the league) and have accounted for 703 base hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.236 and have a FIP of 3.83 as a unit this season. They are sitting at 4th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 653. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 334 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.74 (312 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (775 strikeouts against 274 bases on balls). They have allowed 91 long balls and they relinquish 4.01 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball).

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score rate of 35.0% out of their 120 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 81 times in high leverage situations and on 87 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 56 save situations, the Braves have compiled 32 holds and also 12 blown saves. They rank 28th in MLB holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 263 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 24 save opportunities and they have tallied 12 saves.

Out of their 6,753 innings played, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (14th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have turned 59 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in professional baseball). The Braves have racked up 740 assists, 32 errors and have a tally of 2,251 putouts on the campaign.

Holmes (6-8 career mark) holds a 3.51 ERA and has conceded 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.05 and he has gone up against 683 hitters during his career. He has surrendered 64 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.219 and a FIP of 3.5. So far in his career, Holmes has surrendered 140 base knocks while he has tallied 183 K's in 164 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+110)

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