Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, May 23, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Boston (-132)

The Boston Red Sox (25-26) will go up against the Baltimore Orioles (16-32) at Fenway Park on Friday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +110 and Boston opens at -132. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Charlie Morton and Brayan Bello.

The Orioles have hit 66 doubles as a unit and have knocked 56 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .387 and have been called out on strikes 430 times, while drawing a walk on 134 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 3.8 runs per game, which has them sitting at 25th in MLB. They have accounted for 174 runs batted in in addition to 371 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .232. They have earned 183 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .299.

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The Orioles hold a team earned run average of 5.45 for the season (28th in the league), and the staff has struck out 365 batters. Orioles pitchers have given up 76 home runs and also 268 runs in total (27th in MLB). They have walked 169 opposing batters and their FIP is 5.02 as a unit for the year. Baltimore has yielded 448 base knocks (9.6 per 9 innings) as well as 253 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.16 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.48.

Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 58 times in addition to having 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 27 holds for the year (15th in the league). The Orioles relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 58.3% and have come into the game in 42 save situations. They have 7 saves on the campaign and have blown 5 of their 12 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 73 runners so far this season with 24.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Orioles have dispatched 167 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 1,254 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 438 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which ranks 20th in MLB, and they have turned 34 double plays. The Orioles have turned 68.1% of balls in play into outs in their 3,762 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball.

Morton has taken the mound for 2,166 innings and has totaled 2,087 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.08 (983 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.316. He has given up 2,039 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 811 walks. Morton (138-130 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.02 and he has gone up against 9,296 batters in the majors.

The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .419 and they average 4.71 runs per outing (9th in baseball). They have put up 93 two-baggers, while walking 170 times as well as scoring 240 runs. Boston has a total of 62 HRs on the campaign and 230 RBIs. They have struck out on 465 occasions (3rd in the league) and have tallied 444 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have tallied a team OBP of .324 in addition to a team batting average of .252 for the season.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.336 and have a FIP of 3.84 as a squad on the season. They rank 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 450. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 232 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.04 (205 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (421 strikeouts vs 161 free passes). They have relinquished 49 dingers and they allow 4.57 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).

With 42 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 18 holds and 11 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 23 save chances and they have tallied 12 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 61 times in high leverage situations and also on 48 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.3% out of their 67 inherited runners. They rank 26th in MLB with a save percentage of 52.2%, and they have sent 161 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

In their 4,119 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 67.3% (28th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 47 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 470 assists, 40 errors and have a tally of 1,373 putouts for the year.

During his MLB career, Bello has allowed 431 base knocks while he has earned 360 punch outs in 407 innings pitched. He has allowed 199 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.439 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.32 and he has faced 1,780 hitters in his MLB career. Bello (30-28 career win-loss record) holds a 4.40 earned run average and has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-132)

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