Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/24/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+150) Boston (-182)

The Boston Red Sox (25-26) are welcoming the Baltimore Orioles (16-32) at Fenway Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Baltimore at +150 and Boston is priced at -182. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Zach Eflin and Hunter Dobbins.

The Orioles have accrued 66 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 56 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .387 and have struck out 430 times, while drawing a walk on 134 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 3.8 runs per game, which is 25th in MLB. They have compiled 174 RBI's in addition to 371 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average is sitting at .232. They have earned 183 runs scored while having a team OBP of .299.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.16 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.48. Orioles pitchers have given up 76 home runs and also 268 total runs (27th in baseball). Baltimore has given up 448 base knocks (9.6 per 9 innings) and 253 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 5.45 so far this season (28th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 365 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 169 opposing batters and their FIP is 5.02 as a unit on the season.

Orioles pitchers have come into the game with runners on 58 times and also have had 39 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 27 holds so far this season (15th in baseball). The Orioles relief pitchers have a save rate of 58.3% and stepped onto the hill in 42 save situations. They have recorded 7 saves for the year and have not converted 5 out of their 12 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 73 base runners on the campaign with 24.7% of those players ended up scoring. The Orioles have dispatched 167 relievers to the hill this season.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 1,254 putouts on the year, as well as 438 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which ranks 20th in baseball, and have a total of 34 double plays. The Orioles have turned 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,762 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 23rd in pro baseball.

Eflin has pitched in 1,030 innings and has racked up 889 K's so far in his career. Eflin (65-64 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.13 and he has faced 4,307 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.19 (480 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.221. He has surrendered 1,047 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 211 walks.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .419 and they have an average of 4.71 runs per outing (9th in the league). They have hit 93 doubles, while taking a walk 170 times and racking up 240 runs. Boston has accounted for 62 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 230 RBIs. They have struck out on 465 instances (3rd in the league) and have 444 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .324 and a batting average of .252 so far this year.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.336 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.84 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (421 strikeouts vs 161 walks). They are sitting at 28th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 450. They have given up 49 home runs and they give up 4.57 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 232 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.04 (205 earned runs allowed).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.3% out of 67 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 61 times in high leverage situations and on 48 occasions with runners on. With 42 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 18 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 26th in MLB holding a save rate of 52.2%, and they have dispatched 161 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 23 save chances and they have converted 12 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 47 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in the majors). The Red Sox have 470 assists, 40 errors and have accumulated 1,373 putouts for the season. Out of their 4,119 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (28th in the majors).

Dobbins (2-1 career record) is the owner of a 3.64 ERA and has given up 10.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.00 and he has faced 137 batters in his career. He has surrendered 13 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.308 and having a FIP of 3.6. During his pro baseball career, Dobbins has surrendered 37 hits while he has tallied 25 punch outs in 32 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-182)

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