Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction, 8/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+220) Houston (-275)

The Baltimore Orioles (54-66) are headed to Daikin Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Houston Astros (68-53). The moneyline on this contest has the Orioles at +220 while the Astros are sitting at -275. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Cade Povich and Jason Alexander.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which is 21st in the league. They have racked up 509 runs while holding a team OBP of .303. The Orioles have compiled 196 two-baggers as a team and have hit 145 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 482 RBI's in addition to 959 hits for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .240. Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .404 and have been rung up 1,038 times, while being walked on 324 occasions.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.80 for the season (27th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 984 batters. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 164 home runs in addition to 597 runs in total (26th in baseball). They have walked 389 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.48 as a squad this season. Baltimore has yielded 1,085 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 562 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.53 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.40.

The Orioles relievers have recorded a save percentage of 63.6% and have come into the game in 128 save situations. The relievers have inherited 162 runners so far this season and 22.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 119 times and also have had 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 405 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen have recorded 81 holds on the campaign (5th in the league). They have earned 28 saves this season and have not converted 16 out of their 44 save chances.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 3,160 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,045 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 19th in professional baseball, and have 86 double plays. The Orioles have turned 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,480 innings, which has them sitting at 28th in MLB.

Povich has pitched in 155 innings and has 149 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Povich (5-15 career mark) holds a FIP of 5.02 while he has faced 683 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.10 (88 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.436. He has surrendered 162 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 61 free passes.

Houston has tallied 135 home runs for the season to go along with 502 RBIs. They have notched 189 doubles, while getting a free base 352 times and scoring 525 runs. The Houston Astros have accounted for an OBP of .322 and a team batting average of .258 for the year. The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .408 and they average 4.34 runs per outing (16th in baseball). They have been rung up on 942 instances (25th in MLB) and have tallied 1,057 hits.

The Houston pitching staff have conceded 480 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (450 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 142 home runs and they relinquish 4.01 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.203 with a FIP of 3.85 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.60 (1,147 strikeouts against 366 free passes). They rank 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 928.

Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.4% of 121 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 119 times in high leverage situations and also on 89 occasions with runners on. With 122 save situations, the Astros have amassed 72 holds and also 12 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 377 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Houston has called on relievers to enter the contest in 48 save chances and they have recorded 36 saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 76 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in professional baseball). The Astros have racked up 946 assists, 49 errors and have a tally of 3,228 putouts so far this season. In 9,684 innings on the diamond, the Astros have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (11th in baseball).

So far in his career, Alexander has allowed 125 base hits while he has earned 75 K's in 108 innings. He has surrendered a total of 64 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.577 and having a FIP of 5.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.63 and he has gone up against 489 hitters in his career. Alexander (5-4 career win-loss mark) has a 5.31 ERA while giving up 10.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+220)

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