Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, May 6, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+110) Minnesota (-130)

The Minnesota Twins (15-20) are hosting the Baltimore Orioles (13-20) at Target Field on Tuesday. The odds on this game have the Orioles at +110 while the Twins are at -130. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Cade Povich and Pablo Lopez.

As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 3.9 runs per game, which is 20th in baseball. They have earned 129 runs while holding a team OBP of .297. The Orioles have tallied 41 doubles as a team and have smacked 42 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 121 RBI's in addition to 243 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is sitting at .227. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .390 and have struck out 282 times, while taking a walk on 93 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.02 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.55. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 51 home runs in addition to 184 runs in total (28th in MLB). Baltimore has given up 328 base knocks (10.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 173 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 5.43 for the season (29th in the league), and they have rung up 234 batters. They have walked 116 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 5.08 as a squad on the campaign.

The Orioles relievers have a save percentage of 85.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 32 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 50 runners on the year and 22.0% of those players earned a run for their team. Orioles relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 39 times as well as having 26 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 117 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen have 22 holds over the course of the season (12th in MLB). They have accumulated 6 saves over the course of the season and have blown 1 of their 7 save opportunities.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 861 putouts on the campaign, as well as 301 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which is 19th in the majors, and they have turned 28 double plays. The Orioles have turned 66.8% of balls in play into outs in their 2,583 innings on the field, which has them sitting 29th in the majors.

Povich has taken the hill for 108 innings and has accounted for 94 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 5.23 (63 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.504. He has allowed 117 base knocks (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 46 free passes. Povich (4-11 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.15 and he has faced 486 batters during his time in the majors.

Minnesota is sitting with 28 home runs so far this year as well as 127 RBIs. They have 61 doubles, while walking 101 times as well as scoring 133 runs. The Minnesota Twins have a team on-base percentage of .307 and a batting average of .236 over the course of the season. The Twins hold a team slugging % of .367 and they average 3.80 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have struck out on 280 occasions (17th in the league) and have recorded 274 base hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.218 and have a FIP of 3.68 as a team on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (303 strikeouts vs 90 bases on balls). They are sitting at 17th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 278. They have conceded 36 HR's and they concede 3.93 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 132 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.60 (121 earned runs given up).

Minnesota relievers have an inherited score rate of 39.0% out of 41 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 38 times in high leverage situations and on 27 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 38 save situations, the Twins have amassed 26 holds and 6 blown saves. They rank 29th in the league holding a save percentage of 45.5%, and they have sent 118 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Minnesota has called on relievers to take the mound in 11 save chances and they have recorded 5 saves.

In their 2,721 innings on the diamond, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (20th in the majors). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 18 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in the majors). The Twins have accrued 241 assists, 21 errors and have earned 907 putouts for the year.

Lopez (56-51 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 3.86 earned run average while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.03 and he has gone up against 3,795 opposing hitters in his career. He has conceded 393 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.175 and a FIP of 3.8. So far in his MLB career, Lopez has surrendered 843 hits and he has 947 strikeouts in 917 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-130)

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