Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Minnesota (-150)

Target Field is the site where the Minnesota Twins (15-20) will try to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (13-20) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Orioles at +125 and the Twins are opening at -150. The total is 9. The starting pitchers will be Charlie Morton and Simeon Woods Richardson.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are knocking in 3.9 runs per outing, which ranks them 20th in MLB. They have tallied 129 runs and hold an OBP of .297. The Orioles have earned 41 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 42 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 121 runs batted in in addition to 243 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is at .227. Baltimore has a slugging % of .390 and have been called out on strikes 282 times, while being walked on 93 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Orioles hold a team ERA of 5.43 on the year (29th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 234 hitters. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 51 long balls and 184 total runs (28th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 116 players from the other team and their FIP is 5.08 as a unit this year. Baltimore has allowed 328 base hits (10.3 per 9 innings) and also 173 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.02 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.55.

The Orioles relievers have a save percentage of 85.7% and have entered the game in 32 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 50 base runners this season with 22.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 39 times as well as having 26 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 117 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have racked up 22 holds this year (12th in the league). They have recorded 6 saves on the campaign and have not converted 1 of 7 save chances.

The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 861 putouts thus far, in addition to 301 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which is 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 28 double plays. The Orioles have transformed 66.8% of balls in play into outs in their 2,583 innings on the field, which has them ranked 29th in the majors.

Morton (138-129 career record) has a FIP of 4.03 and he has faced 9,245 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 2,031 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 808 walks. His earned run average is 4.09 (978 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.319. Morton has pitched in 2,152 innings and has racked up 2,073 strikeouts during his career.

The Minnesota Twins have accounted for an OBP of .307 in addition to a team batting average of .236 so far this year. They have struck out on 280 occasions (17th in the league) and have accounted for 274 base hits. Minnesota is sitting with 28 home runs on the campaign as well as 127 runs batted in. The Twins have a team slugging % of .367 and they earn 3.80 runs per outing (23rd in baseball). They have tallied 61 doubles, while getting a free base 101 times as well as scoring 133 runs.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.218 and have a FIP of 3.68 as a unit for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (303 strikeouts against 90 walks). They are sitting at 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 278. They have conceded 36 dingers and they surrender 3.93 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Minnesota pitching staff have relinquished 132 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.60 (121 earned runs surrendered).

Minnesota bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 39.0% of 41 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 38 times in high leverage situations and also on 27 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 38 save situations, the Twins have amassed 26 holds and also 6 blown saves. They rank 29th in MLB with a save rate of 45.5%, and they have sent 118 relievers to the hill so far this season. Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 11 save opportunities and they have earned 5 saves.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 18 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in the majors). The Twins have 241 assists, 21 errors and have accounted for 907 putouts this year. Out of their 2,721 innings played, the Twins have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (20th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Woods Richardson has allowed 166 base hits and he has 155 punch outs in 172 frames. He has given up a total of 82 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.336 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.42 and he has gone up against 740 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Woods Richardson (7-8 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.29 earned run average while surrendering 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-150)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here