Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Philadelphia (-145)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (63-48) will meet the Baltimore Orioles (51-61) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at +125 while Philadelphia is priced at -145. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Dean Kremer and Taijuan Walker.

Baltimore has a slugging % of .409 and have struck out 963 times, while drawing a walk on 308 occasions. They have tallied 463 RBI's as well as 913 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .243. The Orioles have recorded 186 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 137 balls out of the park. They have 489 runs while having a team OBP of .308. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in baseball.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.41. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 154 long balls in addition to 558 total runs (27th in the league). Baltimore has relinquished 1,015 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 527 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 4.82 for the year (27th in the league), and the staff has struck out 916 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 369 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.52 as a team this year.

The Orioles bullpen have recorded a save rate of 65.9% and stepped onto the hill in 121 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 155 runners this year with 19.4% of them earned a run for their team. Orioles relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 115 times and also have had 118 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 385 relievers to the hill this year. The relievers have tallied 77 holds over the course of the season (3rd in the league). They have earned 27 saves for the season and have not converted 14 of 41 save opportunities.

The Orioles have turned 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,850 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 28th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have amassed 2,950 putouts thus far, as well as 979 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them ranked 20th in the majors, and have accumulated 79 double plays.

Kremer has taken the ball for 626 innings and has accounted for 540 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Kremer (38-37 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.22 while he has faced 2,656 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.28 (298 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.308. He has given up 608 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 211 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled an on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .254 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 893 instances (20th in MLB) and have recorded 956 base knocks. Philadelphia has hit 129 long balls on the campaign as well as 493 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging % of .412 and they average 4.65 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have 181 doubles, while walking 375 times and putting up 516 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.249 and have a FIP of 3.73 as a staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (1,017 strikeouts against 311 free passes). They rank 19th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 923. They have given up 124 homers and they concede 4.08 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 448 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.79 (416 earned runs conceded).

Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 32.4% of 105 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 114 times in high leverage situations in addition to 73 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 95 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 48 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They rank 15th in the league with a save rate of 63.0%, and they have sent 341 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the game in 46 save chances and they have come away with 29 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 74 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in MLB). The Phillies have racked up 957 assists, 42 errors and have earned a total of 2,965 putouts so far this season. Out of their 8,895 innings on the diamond, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in the majors).

So far in his career, Walker has surrendered 1,153 base hits while totaling 1,058 K's in 1,227 innings pitched. Walker (75-68 career record) has a 4.17 earned run average while conceding 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 569 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.54 and he has gone up against 5,203 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-145)

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