Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 6/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, June 16, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Tampa Bay (-145)

The Tampa Bay Rays (36-32) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (27-40) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Monday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +125 and Tampa Bay is priced at -145. The over/under comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Zach Eflin and Ryan Pepiot.

The Orioles have accrued 98 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 74 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore is slugging .390 and have been called out on strikes 591 times, while being walked on 191 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 3.9 runs per contest, which puts them at 25th in baseball. They have 242 runs batted in in addition to 533 hits for the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .239. They have notched a total of 260 runs scored and hold an OBP of .304.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 5.00 on the campaign (27th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 541 hitters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 94 long balls and also 345 runs in total (26th in the league). They have walked 219 batters and their FIP is 4.54 as a squad on the year. Baltimore has allowed 614 base hits (9.4 per 9 innings) and 326 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.47 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.42.

The Orioles relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 65.2% and have entered the game in 74 save situations. The relievers have inherited 105 base runners so far this season and 21.9% of them crossed home plate. Orioles relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 80 times as well as having 66 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 232 relievers to the mound on the season. The bullpen are sitting with 48 holds this year (4th in baseball). They have earned 15 saves so far this season and have blown 8 of their 23 save opportunities.

The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 1,759 putouts this season, in addition to 595 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which has them sitting 20th in MLB, and have 47 double plays. The Orioles have turned 67.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,277 innings, ranking them 27th in professional baseball.

Eflin has taken the ball for 1,055 frames and has tallied 908 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 4.16 (488 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.217. He has surrendered 1,069 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 215 walks. Eflin (68-64 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.10 while he has faced 4,405 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Tampa Bay Rays have recorded an OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .245 so far this season. They have struck out on 575 instances (14th in MLB) and have accounted for 557 hits. Tampa Bay has a total of 71 home runs on the year to go along with 286 RBIs. The Rays hold a team slugging % of .389 and they are recording 4.43 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have recorded 107 doubles, while taking a walk 205 times as well as scoring 301 runs.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have allowed 254 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.55 (240 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 90 home runs and they surrender 3.75 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.169 with a FIP of 4.22 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.00 (543 strikeouts against 178 free passes). They are sitting at 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 534.

Sitting with 69 save situations, the Rays have compiled 42 holds and also 10 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers enter the game in 26 save opportunities and they have tallied 16 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 67 times in high leverage situations and also on 39 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.7% out of 54 inherited base runners. They are ranked 18th in the league with a save rate of 61.5%, and they have sent 213 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 74 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Rays have racked up 647 assists, 31 errors and have accumulated 1,828 putouts this season. In 5,484 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (3rd in MLB).

So far in his career, Pepiot has surrendered 224 hits and he has 295 K's in 289 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 106 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.134 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.84 and he has faced 1,185 batters in his career. Pepiot (16-15 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.30 ERA and has surrendered 7.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-145)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here