Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, July 18, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+150) Tampa Bay (-182)

George M. Steinbrenner Field is where the Tampa Bay Rays (50-47) will play the Baltimore Orioles (43-52) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at +150 while the Rays are opening at -182. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Charlie Morton and Taj Bradley.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 21st in the league. They have racked up 393 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .305. The Orioles have tallied 150 doubles as a unit and have knocked 111 balls out of the stadium. They have 371 runs batted in and 760 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is .239. Baltimore has a slugging % of .398 and have struck out 831 times, while being walked on 264 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.41. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 132 home runs in addition to 483 runs in total (26th in baseball). Baltimore has surrendered 877 hits (9.4 per 9 innings) as well as 458 earned runs. The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.92 on the year (27th in MLB), and they have rung up 784 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 303 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.46 as a unit on the campaign.

Orioles relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 106 times in addition to having 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 69 holds this season (2nd in baseball). The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 65.7% and have come into the game in 107 save situations. They have accumulated 23 saves this season and have not converted 12 of their 35 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 138 runners this season and 18.8% of them crossed home plate. The Orioles have dispatched 336 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 2,512 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 834 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which puts them in 22nd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 66 double plays. The Orioles have turned 67.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,536 innings on the diamond, ranking them 29th in professional baseball.

Morton has taken the ball for 106 frames and has accounted for 95 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Morton (5-8 career record) holds a FIP of 4.67 and he has gone up against 473 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.75 (56 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.412. He has conceded 107 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 43 walks.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a batting average of .258 this season. They have been rung up on 800 occasions (15th in MLB) and have accounted for 845 hits. Tampa Bay has tallied 105 home runs so far this year to go along with 424 runs batted in. The Rays hold a slugging % of .405 and they are scoring 4.63 runs per outing (9th in baseball). They have tallied 150 two-baggers, while walking 282 times as well as recording 449 runs.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.203 and have a FIP of 4.25 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are currently ranked 10th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 762. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 388 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.78 (362 earned runs given up). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (799 strikeouts vs 275 free passes). They have given up 127 long balls and they concede 4.05 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

Tampa Bay relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.9% out of 103 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 92 times in high leverage situations and on 71 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 92 save situations, the Rays have accumulated 54 holds and 16 blown saves. They are currently ranked 24th in MLB with a save percentage of 56.8%, and they have sent 301 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 21 saves.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 97 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in baseball). The Rays have accrued 887 assists, 46 errors and have earned 2,588 putouts so far this season. In their 7,764 innings played, the Rays hold a efficiency on defense of 71.4% (5th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Bradley has surrendered 320 base hits and he has 372 strikeouts in 345 innings pitched. Bradley (18-25 career mark) has a 4.72 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 181 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and having a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and he has gone up against 1,475 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-182)

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