Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Sunday, July 20, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+106) Tampa Bay (-128)

George M. Steinbrenner Field is where the Tampa Bay Rays (50-47) will compete against the Baltimore Orioles (43-52) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Orioles at +106 while the Rays are coming in at -128. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Trevor Rogers and Ryan Pepiot.

Baltimore has a slugging rate of .398 and have struck out 831 times, while drawing a walk on 264 occasions. They have accrued 371 runs batted in and 760 hits for the year, and their average at the plate sits at .239. The Orioles have accrued 150 doubles as a squad and have hit 111 balls out of the stadium. They have 393 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .305. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.1 runs/g, which ranks them 21st in the league.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.59 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.41. Orioles pitchers have allowed 132 home runs and 483 runs in total (26th in the league). Baltimore has conceded 877 hits (9.4 per 9 innings) as well as 458 earned runs. The Orioles have a team ERA of 4.92 for the year (27th in the league), and their staff has rung up 784 hitters. They have walked 303 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.46 as a team on the season.

The Orioles have dispatched 336 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 138 base runners this season with 18.8% of those runners crossed the plate. They have recorded 23 saves this season and have not converted 12 of their 35 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 65.7% and have come into the game in 107 save situations. The bullpen have notched 69 holds on the campaign (2nd in the league). Orioles relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 106 times and also have had 98 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have a total of 2,512 putouts for the season, in addition to 834 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them sitting 22nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays. The Orioles have converted 67.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,536 innings on the field, ranking them 29th in pro baseball.

Rogers has taken the hill for 445 innings and has racked up 450 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 4.14 (205 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.361. He has surrendered 430 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 176 free passes. Rogers (17-35 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.08 and he has gone up against 1,932 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated a team OBP of .320 and a team batting average of .258 on the year. They have struck out on 800 instances (15th in baseball) and have earned 845 base hits. Tampa Bay has accounted for 105 home runs for the year to go along with 424 RBIs. The Rays hold a team slugging percentage of .405 and they are scoring 4.63 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have put up 150 doubles, while walking 282 times and putting up 449 runs.

The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.203 in addition to having a FIP of 4.25 as a pitching staff on the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (799 strikeouts vs 275 free passes). They are currently ranked 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 762. They have yielded 127 HR's and they surrender 4.05 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 388 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.78 (362 earned runs given up).

Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 21 saves. They are currently ranked 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 56.8%, and they have dispatched 301 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 92 times in high leverage situations in addition to 71 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.9% out of 103 inherited runners. Sitting with 92 save situations, the Rays have 54 holds and 16 blown saves.

In their 7,764 innings on the diamond, the Rays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (5th in pro baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 97 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in the majors). The Rays have racked up 887 assists, 46 errors and are sitting with 2,588 putouts this year.

Pepiot (19-16 career mark) is the owner of a 3.32 earned run average while giving up 7.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.84 and he has faced 1,320 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 119 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.139 and a FIP of 3.3. During his career, Pepiot has given up 250 base knocks while earning 332 punch outs in 322 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-128)

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