Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, May 30, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+106) Atlanta (-128)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (25-28) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (27-31) on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Red Sox at +106 and the Braves are at -128. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Lucas Giolito and Grant Holmes.

Boston has a slugging % of .419 and have struck out 522 times, while drawing a walk on 197 occasions. They have tallied 263 RBI's in addition to 509 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate sits at .252. The Red Sox have compiled 106 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 71 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 275 runs scored and hold an OBP of .325. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are earning 4.7 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 8th in baseball.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 3.99 this year (17th in the league), and their staff has rung up 481 batters. Red Sox pitchers have given up 54 long balls and also 263 total runs (23rd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 191 batters and their FIP sits at 3.82 as a team over the course of the season. Boston has conceded 508 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 231 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Red Sox relievers have a save percentage of 46.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 48 save situations. The relievers have inherited 76 runners so far this year and 35.5% of those players earned a run for their team. Red Sox pitchers have entered the game with runners on 57 times and also have had 76 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 188 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen have accumulated 21 holds this season (29th in MLB). They have compiled 12 saves over the course of the season and have blown 14 out of their 26 chances to get a save.

The Red Sox have transformed 67.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 4,692 innings, which ranks them 29th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 1,564 putouts thus far, in addition to 528 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .978 which has them sitting 29th in baseball, and they have turned 53 double plays.

Giolito has taken the mound for 1,040 innings and has totaled 1,100 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.46 (515 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.259. He has given up 917 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 393 walks. Giolito (62-63 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.39 and he has gone up against 4,375 hitters in the majors.

The Atlanta Braves have an OBP of .318 in addition to a batting average of .246 so far this year. They have struck out on 450 occasions (16th in the league) and have recorded 442 hits. Atlanta has recorded 56 long balls so far this year as well as 207 RBIs. The Braves have a team SLG% of .387 and they have an average of 4.08 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have recorded 74 doubles, while taking a walk 178 times and putting up 216 runs.

The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.239 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.08 as a team this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (448 strikeouts against 175 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 405. They have conceded 60 home runs and they surrender 3.98 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 207 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.71 (193 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 46 save situations, the Braves have amassed 26 holds and 10 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 20 save opportunities and they have earned 10 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 65 times in high leverage situations and on 54 occasions with runners on. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 69 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 26th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 165 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 38 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in the majors). The Braves have accrued 481 assists, 22 errors and have 1,404 putouts this season. In 4,212 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (7th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Holmes has allowed 108 hits while he has accumulated 125 strikeouts in 126 innings pitched. Holmes (5-4 career mark) has earned a 3.63 earned run average and has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 51 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.180 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.05 and he has faced 523 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+106)

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