Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Monday, August 25, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-150) Baltimore (+125)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the location where the Baltimore Orioles (59-68) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (69-59) on Monday. The odds on this game have Boston at -150 and Baltimore is coming in at +125. The betting total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Walker Buehler and Tomoyuki Sugano.

The Red Sox have tallied 260 two-baggers as a team and have hit 153 baseballs out of the park. Boston is slugging .425 and have struck out 1,129 times, while being walked on 422 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are earning 5.0 runs per game, which is 4th in baseball. They have 610 runs batted in in addition to 1,108 hits on the season, while their team batting average is .252. They have tallied 638 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .324.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 3.74 so far this season (5th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,046 batters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 130 long balls and 545 runs in total (15th in MLB). They have walked 425 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.04 as a squad this year. Boston has allowed 1,064 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 477 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.46 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30.

The Red Sox have sent 421 relievers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 174 runners for the season with 31.6% of them crossed home plate. They have accumulated 34 saves for the season and have blown 23 of their 57 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relievers have recorded a save percentage of 59.6% and have entered the game in 126 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 67 holds so far this year (20th in the league). Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 131 times as well as having 155 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have 3,441 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,183 assists and 98 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .979 which has them sitting 29th in pro baseball, and have earned 103 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,323 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 24th in pro baseball.

Buehler has taken the ball for 823 innings and has racked up 836 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.55 (325 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.154. He has allowed 706 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 244 free passes. Buehler (54-29 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.50 while going up against 3,400 opposing hitters in the majors.

The Baltimore Orioles have a team OBP of .305 as well as a team batting average of .240 this year. They have struck out on 1,096 occasions (13th in the league) and have tallied 1,024 base knocks. Baltimore has 152 home runs so far this year to go along with 518 RBIs. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .403 and they score 4.32 runs per game (18th in the league). They have 205 two-baggers, while taking a walk 353 times as well as scoring 549 runs.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.380 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.43 as a staff on the year. They are currently ranked 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,134. The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 618 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.66 (581 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (1,041 strikeouts vs 413 walks). They have allowed 169 HR's and they relinquish 4.96 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Baltimore has had relievers take the mound in 47 save chances and they have come away with 30 saves. They sit at 12th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.8%, and they have dispatched 429 relievers to the hill for the year. Their relief pitchers have come in 132 times in high leverage situations and on 126 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 23.4% out of their 167 inherited runners. Sitting with 137 save situations, the Orioles have accrued 86 holds and also 17 blown saves.

In 10,089 innings played, the Orioles have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (28th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 90 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in the majors). The Orioles have accrued 1,121 assists, 65 errors and have accumulated 3,363 putouts during this campaign.

During his career, Sugano has surrendered 135 hits while earning 85 K's in 131 frames. Sugano (10-5 career record) holds a 3.98 ERA and has given up 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 58 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.274 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.66 and he has gone up against 558 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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