Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-130) Baltimore (+110)

The Boston Red Sox (72-60) are on their way to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday where they will take on the Baltimore Orioles (60-71). The line on this matchup has the Red Sox at -130 and the Orioles are coming in at +110. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Brayan Bello and Roansy Contreras.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are recording 5.0 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in baseball. They have earned a total of 657 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .325. The Red Sox have tallied 267 doubles as a team and have hit 157 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 627 RBI's in addition to 1,143 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is at .252. Boston has a slugging percentage of .425 and have been called out on strikes 1,166 times, while drawing a walk on 438 occasions.

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The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.72 over the course of the season (5th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,088 batters. Red Sox pitchers have given up 136 long balls and 556 total runs (14th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 435 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.04 as a unit for the year. Boston has allowed 1,087 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 488 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.50 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Red Sox have sent 432 relievers to the mound this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 177 base runners on the year and 31.1% of those players crossed home plate. They have tallied 36 saves on the season and have missed out on 23 of their 59 save opportunities. The Red Sox relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 61.0% and have come into the game in 132 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 71 holds over the course of the season (15th in the league). Red Sox pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 133 times in addition to having 161 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have turned 69.2% of balls in play into outs in their 10,638 innings on the field, which has them sitting 22nd in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 3,546 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,212 assists and 100 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .979 which is 29th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 107 double plays.

Bello has taken the mound for 511 innings and has earned 442 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.07 (231 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.365. He has given up 516 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 182 free passes. Bello (38-33 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.01 while he has gone up against 2,199 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Orioles hold a team slugging % of .405 and they are recording 4.35 runs per outing (17th in MLB). They have hit 210 doubles, while walking 368 times and recording 570 runs. Baltimore has knocked in 159 HRs over the course of the season as well as 539 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,137 occasions (9th in the league) and are sitting with 1,060 hits. The Baltimore Orioles have compiled a team OBP of .307 as well as a batting average of .241 this year.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.378 and have a FIP of 4.45 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (1,078 strikeouts vs 424 walks). They rank 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,170. They have conceded 177 HR's and they allow 5.00 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have yielded 643 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.69 (603 earned runs relinquished).

Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 48 save opportunities and they have tallied 31 saves. They rank 8th in baseball holding a save percentage of 64.6%, and they have sent 440 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 135 times in high leverage situations in addition to 129 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score rate of 25.3% out of their 174 inherited base runners. Sitting with 139 save situations, the Orioles have recorded 87 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 92 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in the majors). The Orioles have recorded 1,149 assists, 69 errors and have earned 3,471 putouts for the season. Out of their 10,413 innings played, the Orioles have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (28th in MLB).

Contreras (10-16 career win-loss record) holds a 4.73 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.95 and he has gone up against 1,020 batters during his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 123 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.392 and a FIP of 4.7. So far in his MLB career, Contreras has allowed 223 hits while he has totaled 201 strikeouts in 234 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+110)

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