Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction, 8/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, August 11, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+125) Houston (-150)

Daikin Park is where the Houston Astros (64-51) will play the Boston Red Sox (64-52) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has Boston at +125 while Houston opens at -150. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Garrett Crochet and Cristian Javier.

The Red Sox have hit 239 doubles as a unit and have knocked 141 baseballs out of the park. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .430 and have been called out on strikes 1,033 times, while taking a walk on 367 occasions. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 5.0 runs per game, which has them at 5th in baseball. They have amassed 554 RBI's as well as 1,010 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate sits at .254. They have accounted for 577 runs scored and have an OBP of .323.

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The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.72 this season (7th in the league), and the staff has rung up 960 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 118 home runs and 496 total runs (15th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 379 opposing players and their FIP is 3.99 as a team for the season. Boston has relinquished 968 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 430 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.53 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 117 times in addition to having 143 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 64 holds so far this season (16th in MLB). The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 59.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 120 save situations. They have recorded 32 saves so far this year and have missed out on 22 of their 54 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 154 runners so far this season with 31.8% of those players crossed home plate. The Red Sox have sent 379 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have earned 3,120 putouts on the year, as well as 1,067 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .978 which puts them in 30th in pro baseball, and have earned 97 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,360 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 26th in the majors.

Crochet has taken the hill for 367 innings and has earned 477 K's during his MLB career. Crochet (22-23 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 2.83 while he has faced 1,502 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.87 (117 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.122. He has conceded 300 base knocks (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 112 free passes.

The Astros have a team SLG% of .407 and they are earning 4.32 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have 179 two-baggers, while taking a walk 332 times and scoring 497 runs. Houston has 126 home runs so far this season as well as 475 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 894 occasions (26th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,005 base hits. The Houston Astros have earned an on-base percentage of .322 and a team batting average of .258 on the year.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.196 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.80 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.70 (1,107 strikeouts vs 342 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 880. They have given up 135 long balls and they surrender 3.96 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Houston pitching staff have relinquished 450 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.72 (422 earned runs yielded).

With 116 save situations, the Astros have 68 holds and also 12 blown saves. Houston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 46 save opportunities and they have walked away with 34 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 112 times in high leverage situations and on 81 occasions with base runners. Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.4% out of their 110 inherited base runners. They rank 1st in baseball with a save percentage of 73.9%, and they have sent 358 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

In their 9,198 innings played, the Astros have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in professional baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in pro baseball). The Astros have recorded 898 assists, 48 errors and have earned a total of 3,066 putouts this season.

Javier (33-18 career record) is the owner of a 3.59 earned run average and has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.76 and he has gone up against 2,060 batters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 200 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.136 and a FIP of 3.5. In his MLB career, Javier has allowed 365 hits while he has tallied 564 strikeouts in 501 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-150)

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