Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 5/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) Kansas City (-132)

Kauffman Stadium is where the Kansas City Royals (23-16) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (20-19) on Sunday. The odds on this game have Boston at +110 and Kansas City opens at -132. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Lucas Giolito and Seth Lugo.

Boston is slugging .420 and have struck out 348 times, while drawing a walk on 139 occasions. They have compiled 181 RBI's in addition to 341 hits this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .254. The Red Sox have earned 75 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 46 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 191 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .329. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in the league.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.91 this year (15th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 322 batters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 36 long balls in addition to 172 runs in total (21st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 120 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.80 as a squad for the year. Boston has conceded 332 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 151 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.68 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30.

Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 28 times as well as having 35 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 11 holds over the course of the season (28th in the league). The Red Sox relievers have a save rate of 52.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 29 save situations. They have tallied 9 saves this season and have blown 8 of 17 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 38 base runners this season with 42.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox have dispatched 116 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Baltimore Orioles have 1,043 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 357 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .978 which has them ranked 29th in the majors, and have accumulated 34 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 68.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,129 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 23rd in MLB.

Giolito (61-63 career record) holds a FIP of 4.40 and he has gone up against 4,305 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 901 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 388 free passes. His earned run average is 4.47 (508 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.261. Giolito has pitched in 1,022 innings and has earned 1,086 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Kansas City Royals have accumulated an on-base percentage of .304 and a team batting average of .245 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 264 occasions (29th in baseball) and have accounted for 317 base hits. Kansas City has 27 home runs on the season to go along with 139 runs batted in. The Royals hold a slugging percentage of .369 and they average 3.56 runs per game (26th in the league). They have hit 69 two-baggers, while taking a walk 103 times and scoring 139 runs.

The Royals have a WHIP of 1.176 and have a FIP of 3.61 as a staff this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (314 strikeouts vs 115 free passes). They are sitting at 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 292. They have relinquished 33 dingers and they concede 3.20 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Kansas City pitching staff have given up 123 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 2.91 (112 earned runs surrendered).

With 41 save situations, the Royals have compiled 24 holds and also 4 blown saves. Kansas City has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 17 save opportunities and they have earned 13 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 37 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with base runners. Kansas City bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.8% of 39 inherited base runners. They are ranked 4th in baseball with a save rate of 76.5%, and they have sent 117 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

In 3,117 innings on the field, the Royals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (7th in MLB). The Kansas City Royals have gotten 34 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in the majors). The Royals have 359 assists, 14 errors and have earned a total of 1,039 putouts this season.

Thus far in his career, Lugo has surrendered 797 hits and he has 866 strikeouts in 897 innings pitched. Lugo (59-43 career record) has a 3.35 earned run average while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 334 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.151 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.67 and he has faced 3,687 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (-132)

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