Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 5/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Friday, May 9, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+150) Kansas City (-182)

The Boston Red Sox (19-19) are headed to Kauffman Stadium on Friday where they will take on the Kansas City Royals (22-16). The moneyline on this game has the Red Sox at +150 while the Royals are at -182. The betting total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Hunter Dobbins and Michael Lorenzen.

Boston is slugging .422 and have been called out on strikes 341 times, while taking a walk on 135 occasions. They have accounted for 177 RBI's in addition to 335 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .255. The Red Sox have earned 74 doubles as a team and have knocked 45 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 186 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .329. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 7th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.80 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 36 home runs in addition to 172 total runs (21st in MLB). Boston has relinquished 327 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 151 earned runs. The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 4.01 on the campaign (16th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 319 hitters. They have walked 114 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.76 as a team so far this year.

The Red Sox have dispatched 113 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 36 runners for the season and 44.4% of those players crossed the plate. They have 9 saves on the year and have not converted 8 of 17 save opportunities. The Red Sox bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 52.9% and have come into the game in 29 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 11 holds this year (28th in baseball). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 27 times as well as having 34 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have turned 67.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 3,048 innings, which has them sitting at 26th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 1,016 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 347 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .978 which puts them in 30th in the majors, and have a total of 32 double plays.

Dobbins has thrown 16 innings and has accounted for 13 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Dobbins (2-1 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.83 and he has gone up against 74 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.89 (7 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.358. He has allowed 18 base hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) with 4 free passes.

Kansas City has 27 home runs so far this season to go along with 129 runs batted in. They have hit 64 doubles, while taking a walk 102 times and notching 129 runs. The Kansas City Royals have a team OBP of .301 in addition to a batting average of .239 for the year. The Royals hold a team SLG% of .362 and they average 3.39 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have struck out on 260 occasions (29th in baseball) and have earned 300 base hits.

The Royals hold a team WHIP of 1.187 and have a FIP of 3.65 as a staff over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (304 strikeouts vs 114 walks). They rank 9th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 286. They have allowed 33 homers and they concede 3.28 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Kansas City pitching staff have given up 123 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 2.99 (112 earned runs given up).

Sitting with 41 save situations, the Royals have amassed 24 holds and also 4 blown saves. Kansas City has called on relievers to enter the contest in 17 save chances and they have walked away with 13 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 37 times in high leverage situations in addition to 28 occasions with runners on base. Kansas City relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.8% out of 39 inherited runners. They rank 5th in baseball holding a save rate of 76.5%, and they have sent 115 relievers onto the field on the year.

The Kansas City Royals have gotten 31 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in professional baseball). The Royals have recorded 348 assists, 14 errors and have accounted for 1,012 putouts so far this season. In 3,036 innings played, the Royals hold a efficiency on defense of 71.8% (7th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Lorenzen has surrendered 812 hits while totaling 732 strikeouts in 892 innings. He has allowed 397 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.316 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.02 and he has faced 3,776 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Lorenzen (50-47 career win-loss record) has a 4.00 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (-182)

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