Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) Milwaukee (-132)

American Family Field is the location where the Milwaukee Brewers (27-28) will meet the Boston Red Sox (27-29) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +110 and the Brewers are sitting at -132. The over/under is 8. The men taking the mound are Brayan Bello and Freddy Peralta.

The Red Sox have tallied 104 doubles as a squad and have hit 69 baseballs out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging rate of .422 and have been called out on strikes 499 times, while being walked on 190 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.8 runs per outing, which has them at 7th in MLB. They have accrued 258 RBI's in addition to 493 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is at .254. They have racked up 269 runs and have an on-base percentage of .326.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.01 for the year (16th in the league), and their staff has struck out 468 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 52 long balls and also 252 runs in total (23rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 182 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.78 as a unit on the year. Boston has relinquished 493 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and also 224 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34.

Red Sox relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 53 times and also have had 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 19 holds on the season (29th in the league). The Red Sox bullpen have a save percentage of 52.2% and have come into the game in 43 save situations. They have earned 12 saves so far this year and have missed out on 11 of their 23 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 74 runners so far this season and 36.5% of those players ended up scoring. The Red Sox have sent 178 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Red Sox have turned 67.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,524 innings on the diamond, ranking them 29th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 1,508 putouts on the year, in addition to 513 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .979 which is 28th in the majors, and have earned 52 double plays.

Bello has taken the hill for 411 innings and has accounted for 367 K's during his pro baseball career. Bello (30-28 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.33 while he has faced 1,798 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.40 (201 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.442. He has given up 437 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 156 free passes.

The Milwaukee Brewers have earned a team OBP of .311 in addition to a batting average of .232 on the campaign. They have struck out on 451 instances (12th in baseball) and are sitting with 423 base knocks. Milwaukee has hit 46 long balls for the year to go along with 214 RBIs. The Brewers hold a team slugging % of .353 and they score 4.27 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have tallied 72 doubles, while taking a walk 190 times and earning 235 runs.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.351 and have a FIP of 4.22 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.30 (444 strikeouts against 206 walks). They sit at 19th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 448. They have given up 59 long balls and they surrender 4.44 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 239 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.07 (219 earned runs yielded).

With 60 save situations, the Brewers have 36 holds and also 9 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 22 save opportunities and they have earned 13 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 67 times in high leverage situations and also on 58 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.6% out of their 90 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 20th in MLB with a save rate of 59.1%, and they have sent 203 relievers to the mound this year.

In 4,359 innings on the field, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 40 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in professional baseball). The Brewers have 423 assists, 34 errors and have earned a total of 1,453 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Peralta has surrendered 614 base knocks while accumulating 1,009 K's in 814 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 335 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.144 and having a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 3.18 and he has gone up against 3,378 hitters thus far in his career. Peralta (58-39 career mark) has earned a 3.70 ERA while giving up 6.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+110)

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