Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Monday, July 28, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-160) Minnesota (+132)

Target Field is the site where the Minnesota Twins (49-53) will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (55-49) on Monday. The line on this contest has the Red Sox at -160 and the Twins are at +132. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Richard Fitts and Simeon Woods Richardson.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 5th in the league. They have racked up 510 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .322. The Red Sox have hit 209 two-baggers as a team and have hit 129 baseballs out of the park. They have 489 runs batted in in addition to 902 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is at .252. Boston has a slugging % of .427 and have been rung up 948 times, while drawing a walk on 337 occasions.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 3.79 on the year (9th in the league), and they have rung up 865 batters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 104 home runs and also 456 runs (21st in MLB). They have walked 337 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.91 as a unit on the year. Boston has relinquished 866 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 392 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29.

The Red Sox have sent 338 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 138 base runners this season with 33.3% of them crossed home plate. They have recorded 27 saves for the year and have blown 20 out of their 47 chances to get a save. The Red Sox bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 57.4% and have come into the game in 104 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 55 holds for the season (20th in MLB). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 105 times in addition to having 131 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have 2,795 putouts for the season, in addition to 962 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .979 which has them ranked 29th in baseball, and they have turned 86 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs in their 8,385 innings on the diamond, ranking them 25th in baseball.

Fitts has pitched in 57 frames and has accumulated 41 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Fitts (1-5 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.72 while he has faced 245 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.78 (24 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.276. He has allowed 56 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 17 walks.

Minnesota has hit 120 home runs this season to go along with 415 RBIs. They have recorded 162 doubles, while getting a free base 302 times as well as scoring 434 runs. The Minnesota Twins have compiled a team OBP of .312 and a batting average of .241 for the year. The Twins hold a team SLG% of .401 and they are recording 4.25 runs per game (19th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 847 occasions (17th in the league) and have recorded 824 hits.

The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 443 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.17 (414 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 111 dingers and they surrender 4.46 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.261 and have a FIP of 3.80 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.70 (866 strikeouts against 265 free passes). They are sitting at 20th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 861.

Minnesota bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.6% of 104 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 123 times in high leverage situations in addition to 73 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 107 save situations, the Twins have earned 71 holds and 15 blown saves. They rank 26th in the league holding a save percentage of 55.9%, and they have dispatched 350 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. Minnesota has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 34 save chances and they have walked away with 19 saves.

In their 8,043 innings on the field, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (23rd in MLB). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 52 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Twins have 749 assists, 48 errors and have earned 2,681 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Woods Richardson has conceded 206 base knocks while accumulating 189 K's in 219 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 104 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.333 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.20 and he has faced 939 hitters during his pro baseball career. Woods Richardson (10-10 record in his career) has earned a 4.27 earned run average and has surrendered 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-160)

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