Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-145) Minnesota (+125)

Target Field is the site where the Minnesota Twins (50-55) will attempt to defeat the Boston Red Sox (57-50) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Boston at -145 and Minnesota is sitting at +125. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Lucas Giolito and Chris Paddack.

The Red Sox have tallied 215 doubles as a squad and have knocked 129 baseballs out of the park. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .427 and have struck out 961 times, while drawing a walk on 342 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. They have earned 495 runs batted in in addition to 917 base knocks this year, and their batting average is .252. They have a total of 516 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .322.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.78 so far this year (10th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 890 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 107 home runs in addition to 463 runs in total (20th in MLB). They have walked 343 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.90 as a team on the campaign. Boston has given up 885 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 399 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.29.

The Red Sox have dispatched 344 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 140 base runners for the year with 33.6% of those runners crossed home plate. They have compiled 28 saves so far this season and have blown 20 of their 48 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 58.3% and have come into the game in 107 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 57 holds this year (15th in the league). Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 107 times as well as having 132 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have converted 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,547 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 26th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 2,849 putouts on the campaign, as well as 979 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding rate is at .979 which is 29th in baseball, and have earned 87 double plays.

Giolito has taken the hill for 1,094 frames and is sitting with 1,149 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.40 (535 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.255. He has allowed 965 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 409 walks. Giolito (67-64 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.33 and he has gone up against 4,598 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

Minnesota has a total of 120 long balls on the season as well as 419 RBIs. They have hit 167 doubles, while getting a free base 310 times and scoring 438 runs. The Minnesota Twins have accumulated a team OBP of .313 as well as a team batting average of .242 on the campaign. The Twins hold a team SLG% of .400 and they average 4.21 runs per outing (21st in MLB). They have been rung up on 861 instances (17th in baseball) and have notched a total of 839 base hits.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.255 and have a FIP of 3.78 as a staff so far this season. They come in at 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 876. The Minnesota pitching staff have given up 452 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.17 (422 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (885 strikeouts against 268 free passes). They have relinquished 113 homers and they relinquish 4.46 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

Minnesota has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 35 save chances and they have earned 20 saves. They are ranked 25th in MLB with a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 355 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. Their relievers have taken the field 126 times in high leverage situations and also on 73 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.6% of 104 inherited base runners. Sitting with 110 save situations, the Twins have earned 73 holds and also 15 blown saves.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 53 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Twins have accrued 769 assists, 49 errors and have accounted for 2,735 putouts so far this year. In 8,205 innings on the diamond, the Twins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in professional baseball).

Paddack (30-33 career mark) is the owner of a 4.50 earned run average and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.31 and he has faced 2,243 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 267 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.209 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. In his pro baseball career, Paddack has surrendered 530 base hits and he has 500 strikeouts in 534 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-145)

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