Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-152) Minnesota (+126)

The Minnesota Twins (51-55) will compete against the Boston Red Sox (57-51) at Target Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Red Sox at -152 while the Twins are priced at +126. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Brayan Bello and Bailey Ober.

The Red Sox have hit 217 doubles as a team and have hit 131 baseballs out of the park. Boston has a slugging percentage of .426 and have been called out on strikes 978 times, while being walked on 347 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are earning 4.9 runs per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. They have recorded 503 runs batted in as well as 933 hits on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .252. They have notched a total of 524 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 109 long balls and 471 runs in total (20th in baseball). Boston has allowed 900 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 407 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team earned run average of 3.79 for the year (10th in MLB), and they have struck out 902 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 358 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a squad so far this year.

Red Sox pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 110 times and also have had 139 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 60 holds on the campaign (14th in MLB). The Red Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 56.9% and have come into the game in 113 save situations. They have compiled 29 saves so far this year and have blown 22 of their 51 save chances. The relievers have inherited 145 runners for the season with 33.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Red Sox have dispatched 354 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Baltimore Orioles have a tally of 2,901 putouts this season, in addition to 992 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding rate is at .979 which ranks 29th in MLB, and have accumulated 90 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,703 innings, which has them ranked 27th in MLB.

Bello has pitched in 479 frames and has tallied 419 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Bello (34-32 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 4.13 while he has gone up against 2,074 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.19 (223 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.388. He has conceded 492 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 173 walks.

Minnesota has compiled 122 home runs on the campaign to go along with 426 RBIs. They have 168 doubles, while walking 316 times as well as racking up 445 runs. The Minnesota Twins have an OBP of .313 and a batting average of .241 on the campaign. The Twins have a slugging percentage of .399 and they have an average of 4.20 runs per game (21st in the league). They have struck out on 870 occasions (18th in the league) and have 854 base hits.

The Twins have a WHIP of 1.262 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.79 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (902 strikeouts vs 276 walks). They come in at 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 897. They have given up 115 home runs and they relinquish 4.48 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). The Minnesota pitching staff have yielded 463 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.19 (433 earned runs conceded).

With 110 save situations, the Twins have amassed 73 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Minnesota has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 35 save opportunities and they have walked away with 20 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 130 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with base runners. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.6% of 107 inherited base runners. They rank 25th in MLB holding a save rate of 57.1%, and they have sent 364 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 54 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (13th in the majors). The Twins have accrued 784 assists, 50 errors and are sitting with 2,789 putouts so far this season. In 8,367 innings played, the Twins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (26th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Ober has allowed 509 base knocks while he has accumulated 558 K's in 563 frames. He has given up 251 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.124 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.50 and he has faced 2,298 hitters in his pro baseball career. Ober (29-27 career win-loss record) holds a 4.01 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-152)

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