Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 10/2/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, October 2, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+220) New York (-275)

Yankee Stadium is the location where the New York Yankees (94-68) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (89-73) on Wednesday for the second game of the ALWC. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at +220 and the Yankees open at -275. The betting total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Connelly Early and Cam Schlittler.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.9 runs per game, which has them at 7th in the league. They have accounted for 786 runs scored and hold an OBP of .324. The Red Sox have tallied 324 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 186 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 748 runs batted in and 1,414 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .254. Boston has a slugging percentage of .421 and have struck out 1,419 times, while being walked on 518 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 164 home runs and 676 total runs (10th in the league). Boston has given up 1,333 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 596 earned runs. The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 3.70 so far this year (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,361 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 530 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.98 as a squad over the course of the season.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 160 times and also have had 192 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 86 holds on the season (19th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 61.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 161 save situations. They have compiled 45 saves on the campaign and have blown 28 of 73 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 223 base runners on the campaign with 33.2% of them crossed home plate. The Red Sox have sent 536 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Red Sox have turned 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 13,035 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 22nd in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 4,345 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,461 assists and 116 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .980 which is 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 131 double plays.

Early has pitched in 19 innings and has accounted for 29 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 2.36 (5 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.099. He has surrendered 17 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 4 walks. Early (1-2 record in his career) holds a FIP of 2.32 and he has faced 79 batters in the majors.

The Yankees have a slugging percentage of .455 and they are scoring 5.24 runs per outing (1st in MLB). They have put up 255 two-baggers, while getting a free base 639 times and racking up 849 runs. New York has compiled 274 home runs on the season to go along with 820 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,463 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,371 hits. The New York Yankees have compiled a team OBP of .332 in addition to a team batting average of .251 so far this year.

The New York pitching staff have given up 685 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.91 (625 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 175 homers and they surrender 4.28 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.248 and have a FIP of 4.00 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (1,440 strikeouts against 557 walks). They rank 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,239.

New York has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 64 save opportunities and they have converted 43 saves. They are ranked 7th in baseball holding a save rate of 67.2%, and they have dispatched 533 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 165 times in high leverage situations and also on 167 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.5% of 255 inherited runners. With 166 save situations, the Yankees have 100 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 105 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in professional baseball). The Yankees have 1,389 assists, 94 errors and have earned 4,319 putouts on the season. Out of their 12,957 innings on the field, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (6th in professional baseball).

During his career, Schlittler has surrendered 58 hits while earning 84 strikeouts in 73 innings. Schlittler (4-3 career record) holds a 2.96 ERA and has given up 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 24 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.219 and a FIP of 2.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.71 and he has faced 304 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+220)

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