Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/22/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, August 22, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+150) New York (-182)

The New York Yankees (69-57) will compete against the Boston Red Sox (68-59) at Yankee Stadium on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Boston at +150 and New York is coming in at -182. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Brayan Bello and Max Fried.

The Red Sox have accounted for 257 doubles as a team and have knocked 151 balls out of the stadium. Boston is slugging .426 and have struck out 1,116 times, while taking a walk on 407 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are earning 5.0 runs per contest, which is 4th in the league. They have recorded 603 RBI's in addition to 1,090 base knocks this season, while their team batting average comes in at .253. They have 629 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .323.

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The Red Sox have a team earned run average of 3.76 this season (6th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,028 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 129 long balls in addition to 538 runs in total (16th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 413 opposing players and their FIP is 4.04 as a unit on the year. Boston has allowed 1,050 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 471 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.49 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Red Sox have sent 409 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 169 runners on the year and 30.2% of those runners crossed the plate. They have tallied 33 saves this year and have blown 23 out of their 56 save opportunities. The Red Sox bullpen have earned a save percentage of 58.9% and have entered the game in 123 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 65 holds so far this year (21st in the league). Red Sox pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 126 times as well as having 150 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have turned 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,143 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 24th in pro baseball. The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with 3,381 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,162 assists and 97 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .979 which has them ranked 29th in MLB, and they have turned 103 double plays.

Bello (37-33 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.06 while facing 2,176 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 513 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 181 free passes. His earned run average is 4.12 (231 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.376. Bello has taken the hill for 504 innings and has accounted for 437 punch outs during his career.

New York is sitting with 195 home runs on the season as well as 611 RBIs. They have put up 202 two-baggers, while getting a free base 481 times and putting up 636 runs. The New York Yankees have compiled an on-base percentage of .330 and a team batting average of .250 this year. The Yankees hold a team SLG% of .446 and they average 5.13 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,081 occasions (9th in the league) and have recorded 1,050 hits.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.254 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a pitching staff for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,104 strikeouts against 429 walks). They rank 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 948. They have given up 140 homers and they relinquish 4.40 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have conceded 537 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.02 (491 earned runs yielded).

With 126 save situations, the Yankees have accrued 75 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 50 save opportunities and they have come away with 33 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 124 times in high leverage situations in addition to 135 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.5% out of their 200 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 8th in the league with a save percentage of 66.0%, and they have dispatched 415 relievers onto the field for the year.

The New York Yankees have gotten 81 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in professional baseball). The Yankees have recorded 1,050 assists, 69 errors and have accounted for 3,296 putouts during this campaign. In 9,888 innings played, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (6th in the majors).

Fried (86-41 career mark) holds a 3.10 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.55 and he has gone up against 4,231 hitters in his career. He has given up 356 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.158 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. During his pro baseball career, Fried has conceded 913 hits while he has tallied 1,004 K's in 1,033 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+150)

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