Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+172) New York (-210)

The Boston Red Sox (68-59) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the New York Yankees (69-57). The line on this matchup has the Red Sox at +172 while the Yankees are sitting at -210. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Garrett Crochet and Will Warren.

Boston owns a slugging percentage of .426 and have struck out 1,116 times, while taking a walk on 407 occasions. They have compiled 603 runs batted in and 1,090 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .253. The Red Sox have hit 257 doubles as a unit and have smacked 151 balls out of the park. They have tallied 629 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .323. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.0 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 4th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.49 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 129 long balls and also 538 runs in total (16th in the league). Boston has given up 1,050 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 471 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 3.76 for the year (6th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,028 hitters. They have walked 413 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.04 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Red Sox bullpen have compiled a save rate of 58.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 123 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 169 base runners for the year with 30.2% of those runners crossed home plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 126 times in addition to having 150 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 409 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have 65 holds this year (21st in MLB). They have tallied 33 saves this season and have missed out on 23 of their 56 chances to get a save.

The Red Sox have converted 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,143 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 24th in pro baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have 3,381 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,162 assists and 97 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .979 which puts them in 29th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 103 double plays.

Crochet has thrown 378 innings and has totaled 490 K's so far in his MLB career. Crochet (22-24 career mark) sits with a FIP of 2.88 while going up against 1,548 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.93 (123 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.121. He has surrendered 310 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 114 free passes.

The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .446 and they have an average of 5.13 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have tallied 202 doubles, while walking 481 times as well as recording 636 runs. New York has recorded 195 home runs on the year as well as 611 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,081 instances (9th in the league) and have tallied 1,050 base knocks. The New York Yankees have recorded a team on-base percentage of .330 in addition to a batting average of .250 on the season.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.254 and have a FIP of 4.05 as a team for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,104 strikeouts vs 429 walks). They are currently ranked 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 948. They have given up 140 long balls and they yield 4.40 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The New York pitching staff have allowed 537 runs on the year while having an ERA of 4.02 (491 earned runs allowed).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.5% out of 200 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 124 times in high leverage situations and also on 135 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 126 save situations, the Yankees have earned 75 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They sit at 8th in MLB holding a save percentage of 66.0%, and they have dispatched 415 relievers to the hill on the year. New York has had relievers enter the contest in 50 save opportunities and they have converted 33 saves.

In 9,888 innings on the field, the Yankees have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.9% (6th in MLB). The New York Yankees have turned 81 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in professional baseball). The Yankees have racked up 1,050 assists, 69 errors and have accumulated 3,296 putouts over the course of the season.

Warren (7-8 mark in his career) has a 5.19 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and he has faced 664 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 86 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.454 and a FIP of 5.1. In his pro baseball career, Warren has given up 152 base knocks while he has accumulated 172 strikeouts in 149 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-210)

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