Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) San Diego (-130)

Petco Park is where the San Diego Padres (64-51) will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (64-52) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at +110 and the Padres are coming in at -130. The betting total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Brayan Bello and Dylan Cease.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are notching 5.0 runs per contest, which is 5th in baseball. They have earned 577 runs and hold an OBP of .323. The Red Sox have hit 239 doubles as a team and have hit 141 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 554 RBI's as well as 1,010 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is at .254. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .430 and have been called out on strikes 1,033 times, while being walked on 367 occasions.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 3.72 for the season (7th in the league), and the staff has rung up 960 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 118 long balls and also 496 runs in total (15th in baseball). They have walked 379 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.99 as a unit so far this season. Boston has conceded 968 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 430 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.53 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Red Sox bullpen have earned a save percentage of 59.3% and have come into the game in 120 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 154 runners so far this season and 31.8% of them crossed the plate. Red Sox pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 117 times as well as having 143 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 379 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have notched 64 holds this year (16th in MLB). They have recorded 32 saves this season and have blown 22 of 54 save opportunities.

The Baltimore Orioles have 3,120 putouts thus far, as well as 1,067 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .978 which puts them in 30th in baseball, and have accumulated 97 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,360 innings, which has them sitting 26th in baseball.

Bello has pitched in 492 innings and has racked up 428 K's during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.10 (224 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.384. He has surrendered 503 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) with 178 walks. Bello (36-32 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.03 while facing 2,127 hitters in the majors.

The Padres hold a team SLG% of .382 and they average 4.14 runs per contest (24th in MLB). They have put up 177 doubles, while getting a free base 367 times and putting up 476 runs. San Diego has a total of 98 home runs this year to go along with 447 RBIs. They have struck out on 807 occasions (28th in the league) and have 966 base hits. The San Diego Padres have compiled a team OBP of .320 and a team batting average of .251 on the year.

The San Diego pitching staff have given up 438 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.58 (404 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 113 dingers and they concede 3.88 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.208 with a FIP of 3.88 as a staff this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (978 strikeouts vs 373 walks). They are currently ranked 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 856.

Sitting with 135 save situations, the Padres have 79 holds and also 14 blown saves. San Diego has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 53 save chances and they have converted 39 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 163 times in high leverage situations in addition to 134 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.6% out of 189 inherited base runners. They are ranked 2nd in MLB holding a save percentage of 73.6%, and they have sent 405 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The San Diego Padres have turned 89 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (14th in the majors). The Padres have accrued 880 assists, 54 errors and have accumulated 3,051 putouts for the year. Out of their 9,153 innings on the diamond, the Padres are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.5% (2nd in MLB).

Cease (61-56 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.86 ERA and has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.89 and he has gone up against 4,111 hitters in his career. He has conceded a total of 416 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.259 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Cease has allowed 814 base hits while accumulating 1,178 punch outs in 970 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+110)

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