Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+172) San Diego (-210)

The Boston Red Sox (64-52) are hitting the road to Petco Park on Saturday where they will go up against the San Diego Padres (64-51). The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +172 and the Padres are at -210. The total is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Lucas Giolito and Michael King.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.0 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They are sitting with 577 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .323. The Red Sox have accrued 239 doubles as a squad and have smacked 141 baseballs out of the park. They have 554 RBI's and 1,010 hits on the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .254. Boston has a slugging % of .430 and have been rung up 1,033 times, while drawing a walk on 367 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.53 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 118 long balls in addition to 496 runs in total (15th in MLB). Boston has surrendered 968 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 430 earned runs. The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 3.72 this season (7th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 960 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 379 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.99 as a team so far this year.

Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 117 times in addition to having 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 64 holds so far this year (16th in baseball). The Red Sox bullpen have compiled a save rate of 59.3% and have come into the game in 120 save situations. They have 32 saves for the season and have missed out on 22 of their 54 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 154 runners this season with 31.8% of those players crossed the plate. The Red Sox have sent 379 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Red Sox have transformed 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,360 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 26th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have earned 3,120 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,067 assists and 93 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .978 which has them ranked 30th in the majors, and they have turned 97 double plays.

Giolito (69-64 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.29 while he has faced 4,652 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 973 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 412 walks. His ERA is 4.36 (537 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.250. Giolito has taken the ball for 1,108 frames and is sitting with 1,158 punch outs in his MLB career.

San Diego has knocked in 98 home runs on the campaign to go along with 447 RBIs. They have 177 doubles, while walking 367 times as well as racking up 476 runs. The San Diego Padres hold an OBP of .320 as well as a batting average of .251 for the year. The Padres have a team slugging % of .382 and they are earning 4.14 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 807 occasions (28th in the league) and have notched a total of 966 base hits.

The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.208 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.88 as a pitching staff for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (978 strikeouts vs 373 walks). They come in at 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 856. They have relinquished 113 home runs and they allow 3.88 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 438 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.58 (404 earned runs allowed).

With 135 save situations, the Padres have accumulated 79 holds and 14 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 53 save chances and they have walked away with 39 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 163 times in high leverage situations and on 134 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 28.6% of 189 inherited runners. They are ranked 2nd in baseball with a save percentage of 73.6%, and they have dispatched 405 relievers onto the diamond for the season.

In 9,153 innings on the field, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (2nd in baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 89 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Padres have racked up 880 assists, 54 errors and have accumulated 3,051 putouts this year.

In his pro baseball career, King has surrendered 396 hits while he has tallied 547 punch outs in 476 frames. He has conceded a total of 166 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.174 and a FIP of 3.1. His K/BB ratio is 3.36 and he has gone up against 1,986 batters during his career. King (30-28 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.14 earned run average and has conceded 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+172)

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