Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, September 19, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-160) Tampa Bay (+132)

The Boston Red Sox (83-69) are headed to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Friday where they will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (74-78). The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at -160 while the Rays are coming in at +132. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Garrett Crochet and Drew Rasmussen.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 4.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 7th in the league. They are sitting with 742 runs and hold an OBP of .324. The Red Sox have accounted for 303 doubles as a squad and have hit 178 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 707 RBI's in addition to 1,326 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate sits at .254. Boston has a slugging rate of .423 and have been called out on strikes 1,330 times, while drawing a walk on 489 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.29. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 155 home runs and also 638 runs in total (11th in MLB). Boston has allowed 1,262 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 563 earned runs. The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 3.72 on the season (4th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,272 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 495 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.01 as a squad for the season.

The Red Sox have dispatched 504 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 207 runners on the campaign and 32.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 42 saves for the season and have blown 27 of 69 save chances. The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 60.9% and have entered the game in 151 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 80 holds so far this year (17th in baseball). Red Sox pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 151 times and also have had 181 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have converted 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,243 innings, which has them sitting at 23rd in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 4,081 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,372 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which has them ranked 30th in pro baseball, and they have turned 122 double plays.

Crochet has pitched in 410 innings and has 534 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 2.98 (136 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.107. He has surrendered 338 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 116 walks. Crochet (25-24 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 2.94 while he has gone up against 1,674 batters in the majors.

Tampa Bay is sitting with 172 HRs on the season to go along with 643 runs batted in. They have put up 229 two-baggers, while taking a walk 437 times as well as earning 675 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have tallied an on-base percentage of .313 in addition to a batting average of .251 this year. The Rays hold a team slugging percentage of .403 and they are recording 4.44 runs per game (14th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,305 occasions (11th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,289 hits.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 627 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.86 (577 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 193 home runs and they concede 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.206 and have a FIP of 4.15 as a staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (1,329 strikeouts vs 436 walks). They are sitting at 6th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,188.

Sitting with 147 save situations, the Rays have earned 83 holds and 27 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had relievers step onto the mound in 62 save chances and they have tallied 35 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 151 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score rate of 31.2% out of 157 inherited runners. They sit at 26th in the league with a save rate of 56.5%, and they have sent 487 relievers to the hill so far this year.

Out of their 12,117 innings on the diamond, the Rays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (6th in baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 138 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in professional baseball). The Rays have accrued 1,331 assists, 72 errors and have a total of 4,039 putouts for the year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Rasmussen has allowed 366 hits while he has earned 423 strikeouts in 454 innings. He has given up a total of 146 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.061 and a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.65 and he has faced 1,814 opposing batters during his career. Rasmussen (30-17 mark in his career) has earned a 2.89 earned run average and has given up 7.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-160)

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