Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, September 25, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+102) Toronto (-122)

The Boston Red Sox (86-71) are hitting the road to Rogers Centre on Thursday where they will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (90-67). The moneyline on this matchup has Boston at +102 and Toronto is priced at -122. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Brayan Bello and Shane Bieber.

The Red Sox have compiled 314 two-baggers as a team and have hit 182 baseballs out of the park. Boston has a slugging percentage of .422 and have been called out on strikes 1,373 times, while taking a walk on 507 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, which is 5th in the league. They have recorded 731 RBI's and 1,374 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is .255. They have accumulated 769 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .324.

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The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.74 this year (5th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,317 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 160 home runs and also 661 runs (11th in the league). They have walked 514 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.00 as a team on the season. Boston has surrendered 1,297 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 583 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.29.

The Red Sox relievers have earned a save percentage of 61.1% and have entered the game in 158 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 211 base runners for the season and 33.2% of those runners crossed home plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 154 times in addition to having 186 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 521 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have recorded 84 holds this season (18th in baseball). They have tallied 44 saves on the campaign and have blown 28 of their 72 chances to save the game.

The Red Sox have converted 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,639 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 23rd in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have earned 4,213 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,423 assists and 114 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .980 which is 30th in baseball, and have 125 double plays.

Bello has taken the hill for 537 frames and has tallied 461 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.10 (245 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.364. He has given up 541 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 192 free passes. Bello (39-35 career record) holds a FIP of 4.04 while going up against 2,315 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Toronto Blue Jays hold a team OBP of .334 and a team batting average of .266 this season. They have been rung up on 1,060 instances (29th in the league) and have earned 1,421 base hits. Toronto has compiled 182 home runs for the season as well as 743 RBIs. The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .425 and they are recording 4.90 runs per game (6th in the league). They have recorded 285 doubles, while taking a walk 505 times as well as notching 769 runs.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.274 in addition to having a FIP of 4.30 as a staff so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,380 strikeouts vs 499 free passes). They have a ranking of 14th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,275. They have allowed 204 home runs and they give up 4.56 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 706 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.22 (653 earned runs yielded).

Toronto relievers hold an inherited score rate of 28.2% of 248 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 174 occasions with runners on. With 163 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 92 holds and 23 blown saves. They are currently ranked 12th in the league holding a save percentage of 64.1%, and they have dispatched 548 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Toronto has called on relievers to enter the contest in 64 save opportunities and they have recorded 41 saves.

In 12,537 innings played, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 112 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in MLB). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,229 assists, 85 errors and have 4,179 putouts on the season.

In his career, Bieber has given up 781 base hits while earning 992 strikeouts in 878 innings. He has given up a total of 316 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.109 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.14 and he has gone up against 3,552 hitters in his career. Bieber (65-34 career mark) has earned a 3.24 earned run average while giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+102)

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