Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/24/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-182) Cincinnati (+150)

The Chicago Cubs (30-20) are traveling to Great American Ball Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (25-26). The odds on this game have the Cubs at -182 and the Reds are at +150. The over/under is 8. The expected starting pitchers are Colin Rea and Andrew Abbott.

The Cubs have earned 93 doubles as a unit and have knocked 69 baseballs out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging % of .447 and have been called out on strikes 398 times, while drawing a walk on 190 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are earning 5.9 runs per game, which is 1st in baseball. They have accumulated 286 runs batted in in addition to 455 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .261. They have earned a total of 293 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .335.

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The Cubs hold a team earned run average of 3.90 over the course of the season (16th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 394 hitters. Cubs pitchers have given up 60 home runs and 210 total runs (18th in MLB). They have walked 151 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a squad on the season. Chicago has allowed 421 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 194 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

The Cubs bullpen have a save rate of 57.9% and have entered the game in 52 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 53 base runners for the season and 35.8% of those runners crossed home plate. Cubs relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 38 times in addition to having 53 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 171 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have notched 32 holds this year (9th in MLB). They have tallied 11 saves so far this year and have not converted 8 of their 19 chances to save the game.

The Cubs have turned 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 4,029 innings, which has them sitting 15th in baseball. The Boston Red Sox have notched a total of 1,343 putouts for the season, as well as 419 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 12th in baseball, and have accumulated 44 double plays.

Rea has taken the ball for 487 innings and has tallied 398 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Rea (29-20 career record) holds a FIP of 4.33 while he has faced 2,072 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.39 (238 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.272. He has given up 471 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 149 walks.

The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .391 and they are scoring 4.47 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have recorded 89 two-baggers, while getting a free base 175 times and notching 228 runs. Cincinnati has 53 HRs so far this year to go along with 220 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 457 occasions (4th in the league) and have accounted for 412 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an OBP of .317 and a team batting average of .241 for the year.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.168 and have a FIP of 3.96 as a squad on the campaign. They come in at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 374. The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 195 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.48 (175 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (418 strikeouts vs 154 free passes). They have yielded 55 home runs and they surrender 3.88 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

With 62 save situations, the Reds have earned 40 holds and 6 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 20 save opportunities and they have walked away with 14 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 47 times in high leverage situations and also on 35 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.6% out of their 54 inherited runners. They are ranked 6th in the league holding a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have sent 171 relievers to the mound this season.

In 4,068 innings on the diamond, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.7% (1st in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 27 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Reds have recorded 397 assists, 26 errors and have earned 1,356 putouts this season.

So far in his MLB career, Abbott has allowed 251 base hits and he has 277 strikeouts in 282 frames. He has surrendered a total of 111 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.283 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 1,187 batters in his pro baseball career. Abbott (21-16 career mark) is the owner of a 3.54 ERA while surrendering 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-182)

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