Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, May 19, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-132) Miami (+110)

loanDepot park is the site where the Miami Marlins (16-26) will take on the Chicago Cubs (25-19) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs at -132 while the Marlins are coming in at +110. The total comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Ben Brown and Edward Cabrera.

The Cubs have accounted for 75 doubles as a team and have knocked 63 balls out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .436 and have struck out 353 times, while drawing a walk on 168 occasions. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are scoring 5.6 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league. They have accumulated 240 runs batted in as well as 380 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .250. They have earned a total of 244 runs while holding a team OBP of .327.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.30. Cubs pitchers have yielded 52 home runs and also 192 total runs (20th in the league). Chicago has surrendered 373 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 176 earned runs. The Cubs have an earned run average of 4.02 this year (19th in MLB), and they have rung up 355 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 140 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.19 as a unit so far this year.

The Cubs have dispatched 152 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 50 base runners over the course of the season with 38.0% of those runners ended up scoring. They have tallied 10 saves on the season and have blown 7 out of their 17 chances to save the game. The Cubs bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 58.8% and have entered the game in 44 save situations. The relievers have a total of 26 holds on the year (12th in MLB). Cubs bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 35 times as well as having 47 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cubs have transformed 69.8% of balls in play into outs in their 3,546 innings on the field, which ranks them 17th in baseball. The Boston Red Sox have a total of 1,182 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 355 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .985 which is 20th in pro baseball, and they have turned 36 double plays.

Brown (4-6 career record) holds a FIP of 4.05 while he has gone up against 413 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 90 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 35 walks. His earned run average is 4.11 (44 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.298. Brown has pitched in 96 innings and has accumulated 114 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Miami Marlins hold an OBP of .309 in addition to a team batting average of .244 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 368 occasions (12th in baseball) and have tallied 351 base hits. Miami has compiled 40 home runs so far this year as well as 165 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a slugging % of .382 and they tally 4.12 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have recorded 66 doubles, while taking a walk 127 times as well as racking up 173 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 244 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 5.54 (229 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 57 homers and they concede 5.90 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.505 and have a FIP of 4.86 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.00 (330 strikeouts vs 176 walks). They are sitting at 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 384.

With 35 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 21 holds and 7 blown saves. Miami has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 14 save chances and they have walked away with 7 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 52 times in high leverage situations and on 46 occasions with runners on base. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.8% of 65 inherited base runners. They are ranked 26th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 145 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year.

In their 3,354 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (22nd in professional baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 31 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in the majors). The Marlins have accrued 370 assists, 21 errors and have earned a total of 1,118 putouts on the campaign.

Cabrera (17-23 career mark) holds a 4.43 earned run average while allowing 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.96 and he has faced 1,394 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 159 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.365 and a FIP of 4.4. During his MLB career, Cabrera has surrendered 260 base knocks while tallying 354 strikeouts in 323 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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