Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-128) Milwaukee (+106)

The Chicago Cubs (19-13) are headed to American Family Field on Sunday where they will compete against the Milwaukee Brewers (16-16). The moneyline on this contest has Chicago at -128 while Milwaukee is sitting at +106. The total is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Shota Imanaga and Freddy Peralta.

Chicago has a slugging percentage of .457 and have been called out on strikes 253 times, while drawing a walk on 128 occasions. They have earned 188 RBI's and 298 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate is at .264. The Cubs have compiled 62 doubles as a unit and have hit 46 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 192 runs scored while having a team OBP of .342. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are notching 6.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 1st in MLB.

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The Cubs hold a team earned run average of 3.98 on the season (15th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 248 batters. Cubs pitchers have yielded 34 home runs and also 140 total runs (17th in MLB). They have walked 114 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a team on the year. Chicago has conceded 271 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 127 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.18 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Cubs have dispatched 112 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 37 runners this season and 37.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 7 saves for the year and have blown 7 of their 14 chances to save the game. The Cubs relievers have recorded a save rate of 50.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 37 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 22 holds on the campaign (7th in the league). Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 27 times as well as having 35 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cubs have converted 70.0% of balls in play into outs in their 2,583 innings on the field, ranking them 16th in baseball. The Boston Red Sox have a total of 861 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 258 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which has them sitting 18th in professional baseball, and have a total of 23 double plays.

Imanaga (18-4 career mark) has earned a FIP of 2.84 while going up against 853 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 180 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 41 walks. His earned run average is 2.89 (68 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.042. Imanaga has pitched in 212 frames and has 204 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .368 and they have an average of 4.97 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have hit 43 doubles, while taking a walk 115 times as well as scoring 159 runs. Milwaukee has knocked in 27 long balls for the season as well as 141 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 254 occasions (16th in the league) and have earned 262 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded a team on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a team batting average of .244 this year.

The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.351 with a FIP of 4.47 as a squad on the season. They rank 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 251. The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 143 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.23 (131 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.10 (251 strikeouts against 126 free passes). They have given up 37 homers and they relinquish 4.61 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league).

Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score percentage of 47.8% out of their 46 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 29 times in high leverage situations and also on 29 occasions with runners on. With 29 save situations, the Brewers have earned 19 holds and 4 blown saves. They sit at 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 55.6%, and they have dispatched 113 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 9 save chances and they have walked away with 5 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 24 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in professional baseball). The Brewers have 240 assists, 20 errors and have a total of 837 putouts so far this year. In 2,511 innings on the field, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (11th in pro baseball).

In his career, Peralta has surrendered 598 base knocks while earning 990 punch outs in 793 innings. He has given up a total of 329 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.142 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.21 and he has gone up against 3,290 batters in his pro baseball career. Peralta (56-38 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.73 earned run average while conceding 6.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+106) and under 9 runs

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