Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, July 28, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+126) Milwaukee (-152)

American Family Field is the site where the Milwaukee Brewers (61-41) will try to beat the Chicago Cubs (60-42) on Monday. The odds on this game have Chicago at +126 while Milwaukee is sitting at -152. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Matthew Boyd and Jacob Misiorowski.

Chicago is slugging .446 and have been called out on strikes 784 times, while drawing a walk on 346 occasions. They have 525 runs batted in as well as 899 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate is .256. The Cubs have tallied 173 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 152 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 537 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 5.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 2nd in baseball.

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The Cubs have an earned run average of 3.86 for the season (13th in the league), and their staff has rung up 764 hitters. Cubs pitchers have allowed 128 long balls and 420 runs in total (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 272 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.25 as a unit so far this season. Chicago has conceded 841 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 390 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.22.

Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 70 times and also have had 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 63 holds this season (10th in baseball). The Cubs relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 68.6% and have entered the game in 101 save situations. They have earned 24 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 11 of their 35 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 96 runners on the campaign with 29.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Cubs have dispatched 335 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 2,729 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 864 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them sitting 5th in MLB, and they have turned 83 double plays. The Cubs have transformed 71.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,187 innings, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball.

Boyd (57-72 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.47 and he has gone up against 4,361 hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 995 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 318 free passes. His earned run average is 4.54 (518 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.279. Boyd has pitched in 1,026 innings and has accounted for 999 punch outs in his career.

Milwaukee has tallied 96 home runs so far this year as well as 455 runs batted in. They have hit 147 two-baggers, while taking a walk 345 times and racking up 489 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have compiled an OBP of .324 as well as a batting average of .250 for the season. The Brewers hold a team slugging % of .383 and they score 4.79 runs per contest (6th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 813 occasions (21st in MLB) and have tallied 858 base hits.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.229 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.90 as a staff on the campaign. They come in at 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 782. The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 391 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.59 (361 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (882 strikeouts against 332 walks). They have allowed 107 home runs and they allow 3.88 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball).

Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of 139 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 117 times in high leverage situations and on 93 occasions with runners on base. With 115 save situations, the Brewers have 73 holds and 12 blown saves. They rank 5th in the league holding a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 351 relievers to the hill on the season. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 40 save opportunities and they have recorded 28 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 73 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Brewers have recorded 814 assists, 48 errors and have accounted for 2,719 putouts this season. Out of their 8,157 innings on the diamond, the Brewers hold a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (8th in professional baseball).

Misiorowski (4-1 record in his career) holds a 2.47 ERA while allowing 4.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.33 and he has faced 112 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 8 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.928 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.4. In his MLB career, Misiorowski has surrendered 15 base knocks and he has 40 K's in 29 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-152) and under 9 runs

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