Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-152) Minnesota (+126)

The Chicago Cubs (54-36) are traveling to Target Field on Wednesday where they will play the Minnesota Twins (43-47). The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs at -152 and the Twins are at +126. The betting total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Cade Horton and David Festa.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are recording 5.5 runs per contest, which puts them at 1st in baseball. They have a total of 492 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .328. The Cubs have tallied 158 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 136 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 481 runs batted in in addition to 802 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .257. Chicago has a slugging % of .451 and have been rung up 700 times, while being walked on 315 occasions.

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The Cubs are sitting with a team ERA of 3.78 on the campaign (13th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 676 hitters. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 107 long balls and 366 total runs (12th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 246 hitters and their FIP is 4.16 as a squad over the course of the season. Chicago has allowed 745 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 338 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23.

Cubs relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 66 times in addition to having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 57 holds so far this year (10th in the league). The Cubs bullpen have a save percentage of 67.7% and have come into the game in 91 save situations. They have 21 saves this season and have missed out on 10 of 31 save chances. The relievers have inherited 90 runners on the season with 31.1% of those players ended up scoring. The Cubs have sent 301 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 2,414 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 765 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which is 7th in professional baseball, and they have turned 76 double plays. The Cubs have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,242 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in MLB.

Horton has taken the ball for 52 innings and has 38 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Horton (3-2 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.09 while he has faced 225 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.15 (24 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.385. He has given up 56 base hits (9.7 hits per 9 innings) with 16 walks.

Minnesota has accumulated 102 long balls for the year as well as 360 runs batted in. They have hit 138 two-baggers, while taking a walk 262 times and putting up 374 runs. The Minnesota Twins have a team on-base percentage of .309 in addition to a batting average of .239 on the year. The Twins hold a team SLG% of .391 and they are recording 4.16 runs per outing (22nd in the league). They have struck out on 750 occasions (16th in MLB) and have notched a total of 719 hits.

The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.253 with a FIP of 3.72 as a unit for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (766 strikeouts vs 234 walks). They sit at 19th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 755. They have yielded 93 long balls and they allow 4.47 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 392 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.15 (364 earned runs surrendered).

With 91 save situations, the Twins have earned 58 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 31 save opportunities and they have earned 17 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 108 times in high leverage situations and on 65 occasions with base runners. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.9% out of 92 inherited base runners. They rank 25th in the league holding a save rate of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 306 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year.

Out of their 7,101 innings on the diamond, the Twins hold a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (23rd in pro baseball). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 45 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 668 assists, 45 errors and have earned 2,367 putouts this year.

Festa (4-9 career mark) holds a 5.16 earned run average and has surrendered 8.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.13 and he has gone up against 463 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 61 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.345 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. In his career, Festa has given up 104 base hits while he has tallied 122 K's in 106 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (-152)

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