Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+110) New York (-130)

The New York Mets (24-14) will play the Chicago Cubs (22-16) at Citi Field on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Cubs at +110 and the Mets are opening at -130. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Matthew Boyd and Tylor Megill.

The Cubs have earned 68 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 55 balls out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging rate of .446 and have been rung up 307 times, while taking a walk on 149 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are earning 5.9 runs per game, which has them at 1st in the league. They have amassed 219 RBI's and 344 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average is at .258. They have earned 223 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .335.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. Cubs pitchers have given up 37 long balls in addition to 165 runs in total (17th in MLB). Chicago has given up 318 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 150 earned runs. The Cubs hold a team earned run average of 3.95 over the course of the season (15th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 298 hitters. They have walked 129 batters and their FIP is 4.00 as a team this season.

The Cubs have dispatched 132 relievers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 44 runners on the season and 40.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have tallied 8 saves for the season and have blown 7 out of their 15 save opportunities. The Cubs bullpen have earned a save percentage of 53.3% and have come into the game in 38 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 22 holds over the course of the season (17th in MLB). Cubs relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 32 times as well as having 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have earned 1,026 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 307 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which ranks 17th in professional baseball, and they have turned 31 double plays. The Cubs have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs in their 3,078 innings, which has them sitting 15th in MLB.

Boyd has thrown 947 frames and has accumulated 928 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.76 (501 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.315. He has surrendered 939 base hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 307 free passes. Boyd (49-71 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.69 and he has faced 4,064 hitters in the major leagues.

The New York Mets hold a team on-base percentage of .331 and a team batting average of .249 on the year. They have been rung up on 280 occasions (27th in MLB) and are sitting with 317 hits. New York has recorded 42 long balls on the year and 174 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging % of .420 and they are scoring 4.76 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have 71 doubles, while taking a walk 142 times as well as putting up 181 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.256 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.10 as a team on the season. They come in at 15th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 295. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 122 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 2.89 (108 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.20 (344 strikeouts vs 127 free passes). They have conceded 21 HR's and they relinquish 3.27 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 16 save chances and they have come away with 11 saves. They rank 10th in MLB holding a save percentage of 68.8%, and they have dispatched 122 relief pitchers onto the field this year. Their relievers have taken the field 48 times in high leverage situations in addition to 35 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.4% out of their 51 inherited base runners. With 49 save situations, the Mets have recorded 33 holds and also 5 blown saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 29 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 325 assists, 16 errors and have earned a total of 1,008 putouts so far this year. In 3,024 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (21st in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Megill has conceded 372 base knocks and he has 391 punch outs in 377 innings. Megill (24-23 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.37 ERA while giving up 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 183 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.371 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and he has gone up against 1,637 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (+110)

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