Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, May 9, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+102) New York (-122)

The New York Mets (24-14) are hosting the Chicago Cubs (22-16) at Citi Field on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Chicago at +102 and New York is sitting at -122. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Jameson Taillon and Clay Holmes.

Chicago has a slugging percentage of .446 and have struck out 307 times, while taking a walk on 149 occasions. They have amassed 219 runs batted in and 344 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is at .258. The Cubs have tallied 68 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 55 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 223 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .335. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are notching 5.9 runs per game, which ranks them 1st in MLB.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

The Cubs have compiled a team earned run average of 3.95 on the season (15th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 298 batters. Cubs pitchers have given up 37 home runs and 165 total runs (17th in MLB). They have walked 129 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.00 as a squad so far this year. Chicago has given up 318 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 150 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Cubs have sent 132 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 44 base runners this year with 40.9% of those players crossed the plate. They have earned 8 saves on the campaign and have not converted 7 of 15 save chances. The Cubs bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 53.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 38 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 22 holds this year (17th in MLB). Cubs relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 32 times in addition to having 39 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have earned 1,026 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 307 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 17th in baseball, and they have turned 31 double plays. The Cubs have transformed 69.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,078 innings on the field, which ranks them 15th in the majors.

Taillon has taken the hill for 1,146 innings and has tallied 1,006 K's during his MLB career. Taillon (73-54 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.84 and he has faced 4,768 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.89 (496 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.204. He has surrendered 1,105 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 275 walks.

New York has compiled 42 long balls this season to go along with 174 runs batted in. They have hit 71 doubles, while getting a free base 142 times as well as scoring 181 runs. The New York Mets have an OBP of .331 and a team batting average of .249 this season. The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .420 and they tally 4.76 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 280 occasions (27th in MLB) and have tallied 317 base hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.256 in addition to having a FIP of 3.10 as a team on the year. They come in at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 295. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 122 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 2.89 (108 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (344 strikeouts vs 127 bases on balls). They have conceded 21 dingers and they surrender 3.27 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball).

With 49 save situations, the Mets have 33 holds and also 5 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 16 save opportunities and they have earned 11 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 48 times in high leverage situations in addition to 35 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.4% out of their 51 inherited runners. They sit at 10th in baseball with a save percentage of 68.8%, and they have dispatched 122 relievers to the hill on the year.

In 3,024 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (21st in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 29 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (9th in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 325 assists, 16 errors and have 1,008 putouts for the year.

Holmes (28-23 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.64 earned run average while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.40 and he has gone up against 1,616 batters during his career. He has surrendered a total of 151 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 3.6. So far in his pro baseball career, Holmes has conceded 320 base hits while earning 399 strikeouts in 373 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (+102)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here