Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-210) Philadelphia (+172)

The Philadelphia Phillies (38-28) welcome the Chicago Cubs (40-26) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The line on this contest has Chicago at -210 while Philadelphia is sitting at +172. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers will be Ben Brown and Jesus Luzardo.

The Cubs have tallied 122 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 90 baseballs out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .441 and have been called out on strikes 523 times, while being walked on 240 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are notching 5.6 runs per game, which puts them at 2nd in the league. They have tallied 358 RBI's and 590 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average sits at .257. They have accounted for 366 runs scored and hold an OBP of .329.

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The Cubs have an earned run average of 3.64 over the course of the season (10th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 508 batters. Cubs pitchers have conceded 70 home runs in addition to 262 total runs (12th in baseball). They have walked 187 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a team this year. Chicago has conceded 546 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 239 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24.

Cubs pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 49 times and also have had 68 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 41 holds this year (12th in MLB). The Cubs relievers have compiled a save rate of 65.2% and have come into the game in 65 save situations. They have accumulated 15 saves this year and have blown 8 out of their 23 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 68 runners for the season and 29.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Cubs have sent 220 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 1,772 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 566 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which has them sitting 13th in MLB, and have earned 57 double plays. The Cubs have turned 70.5% of balls in play into outs in their 5,316 innings, which has them sitting 13th in pro baseball.

Brown (4-7 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.50 while he has faced 504 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 112 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 39 walks. His earned run average is 4.56 (60 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.276. Brown has taken the ball for 118 innings and is sitting with 142 punch outs in his career.

Philadelphia has 68 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 285 RBIs. They have hit 101 doubles, while getting a free base 234 times and racking up 301 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .253 on the year. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .397 and they are earning 4.56 runs per game (10th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 516 instances (22nd in baseball) and have 568 hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.299 with a FIP of 3.59 as a pitching staff this season. They are sitting at 22nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 567. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 285 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.97 (261 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (620 strikeouts vs 202 bases on balls). They have surrendered 68 homers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league).

Philadelphia has called on relievers to take the mound in 33 save chances and they have tallied 20 saves. They rank 20th in baseball holding a save rate of 60.6%, and they have sent 212 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 78 times in high leverage situations and also on 47 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.9% of 65 inherited runners. Sitting with 67 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 33 holds in addition to 13 blown saves.

Out of their 5,328 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (24th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 43 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (2nd in the majors). The Phillies have racked up 572 assists, 25 errors and have amassed 1,776 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Luzardo has conceded 542 base knocks while totaling 642 strikeouts in 584 innings pitched. Luzardo (31-36 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.31 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 280 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.277 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and he has faced 2,460 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+172)

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