Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, August 14, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+120) Toronto (-144)

Rogers Centre is the site where the Toronto Blue Jays (70-50) will attempt to defeat the Chicago Cubs (67-51) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Cubs at +120 and the Blue Jays open at -144. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Matthew Boyd and Max Scherzer.

Chicago is slugging .438 and have been called out on strikes 909 times, while drawing a walk on 392 occasions. They have compiled 583 runs batted in as well as 1,020 hits this year, while their team batting average comes in at .254. The Cubs have accounted for 196 doubles as a unit and have hit 167 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 599 runs while having a team OBP of .322. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are knocking in 5.1 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 2nd in the league.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 146 long balls and 482 total runs (8th in MLB). Chicago has yielded 961 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 448 earned runs. The Cubs have a team ERA of 3.88 on the campaign (13th in MLB), and they have rung up 888 batters. They have walked 301 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.20 as a team on the season.

Cubs pitchers have come into the game with players on base 80 times and also have had 110 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 75 holds this season (9th in baseball). The Cubs relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and have come into the game in 117 save situations. They have accumulated 26 saves this year and have not converted 13 of 39 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 111 base runners on the year with 30.6% of them earned a run for their team. The Cubs have dispatched 385 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Boston Red Sox have 3,119 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 975 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 7th in professional baseball, and have 91 double plays. The Cubs have turned 71.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,357 innings, which has them ranked 4th in MLB.

Boyd (57-74 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.47 while he has faced 4,431 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,012 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 323 walks. His ERA is 4.54 (526 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.280. Boyd has pitched in 1,043 innings and has totaled 1,012 punch outs in his career.

The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .428 and they score 4.90 runs per outing (7th in the league). They have 218 two-baggers, while taking a walk 398 times and notching 583 runs. Toronto has knocked in 137 home runs for the season to go along with 559 RBIs. They have been rung up on 798 occasions (30th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,099 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .339 in addition to a team batting average of .269 this season.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.264 in addition to having a FIP of 4.32 as a staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (1,057 strikeouts against 373 bases on balls). They rank 13th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 960. They have surrendered 161 long balls and they allow 4.60 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Toronto pitching staff have given up 539 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.27 (500 earned runs allowed).

Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.7% out of 176 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 118 times in high leverage situations and also on 120 occasions with runners on. With 126 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 71 holds and 19 blown saves. They rank 14th in baseball with a save percentage of 64.2%, and they have dispatched 407 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Toronto has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 53 save chances and they have tallied 34 saves.

Out of their 9,492 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (14th in pro baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 85 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in MLB). The Blue Jays have accrued 876 assists, 65 errors and have accumulated 3,164 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Scherzer has given up 2,387 base knocks while totaling 3,456 strikeouts in 2,925 innings. Scherzer (218-114 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.18 earned run average and has given up 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 1,032 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.078 and having a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.51 and he has gone up against 11,818 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (+120)

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