Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, May 26, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+125) New York (-150)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (30-20) will try to defeat the Chicago White Sox (15-35) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the White Sox at +125 while the Mets are sitting at -150. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Adrian Houser and Clay Holmes.

The White Sox have compiled 65 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 40 balls out of the park. Chicago has a slugging rate of .332 and have struck out 423 times, while being walked on 151 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago White Sox are scoring 3.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 28th in the league. They have compiled 159 runs batted in and 350 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .216. They have notched a total of 164 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .286.

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The White Sox have an ERA of 4.19 this season (23rd in the league), and the staff has rung up 355 hitters. White Sox pitchers have surrendered 54 home runs and 221 runs (20th in the league). They have walked 189 hitters and their FIP is 4.60 as a squad on the season. Chicago has relinquished 410 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 200 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.88 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40.

The White Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 30.8% and stepped onto the hill in 36 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 75 base runners so far this season with 32.0% of them crossed the plate. White Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 52 times in addition to having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. The White Sox have sent 165 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 23 holds over the course of the season (26th in baseball). They have compiled 4 saves for the season and have missed out on 9 out of their 13 chances to save the game.

The Chicago Cubs have accumulated 1,288 putouts this season, as well as 408 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate is at .978 which ranks 29th in pro baseball, and have a total of 40 double plays. The White Sox have turned 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,864 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 18th in the majors.

Houser has taken the hill for 614 innings and has tallied 486 strikeouts thus far in his career. Houser (33-39 career record) holds a FIP of 4.11 while he has gone up against 2,640 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.18 (285 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.373. He has surrendered 596 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 247 walks.

The Mets have a SLG% of .408 and they tally 4.36 runs per game (13th in the league). They have recorded 87 two-baggers, while walking 182 times as well as racking up 218 runs. New York is sitting with 53 home runs so far this year and 209 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 380 occasions (26th in the league) and have tallied 407 base hits. The New York Mets have accounted for a team OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .246 for the year.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.255 in addition to having a FIP of 3.34 as a pitching staff so far this year. They come in at 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 375. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 162 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 2.82 (138 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (448 strikeouts vs 177 free passes). They have given up 33 homers and they surrender 3.31 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB).

New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 29.9% out of 67 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 63 times in high leverage situations and also on 43 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 57 save situations, the Mets have 36 holds and 8 blown saves. They are ranked 18th in MLB holding a save rate of 61.9%, and they have dispatched 157 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 21 save opportunities and they have come away with 13 saves.

Out of their 3,960 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (17th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 35 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 436 assists, 25 errors and have a total of 1,320 putouts on the season.

Holmes (29-25 career mark) has earned a 3.63 ERA while giving up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.39 and he has gone up against 1,688 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 158 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.296 and a FIP of 3.6. In his pro baseball career, Holmes has allowed 334 hits while earning 413 punch outs in 391 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-150)

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