Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+220) New York (-275)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (33-21) will play the Chicago White Sox (17-37) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Chicago at +220 while New York is priced at -275. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Shane Smith and Griffin Canning.

As a unit, the Chicago White Sox are compiling 3.4 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in the league. They have accumulated 183 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .291. The White Sox have hit 76 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 44 balls out of the park. They have 178 RBI's and 385 hits this season, and their average at the plate is at .220. Chicago has a slugging % of .341 and have struck out 454 times, while taking a walk on 170 occasions.

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The White Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 4.07 over the course of the season (21st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 385 batters. White Sox pitchers have allowed 56 home runs in addition to 234 total runs (19th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 204 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.52 as a squad on the season. Chicago has conceded 433 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 210 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 1.89 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37.

The White Sox relievers have compiled a save rate of 31.3% and have entered the game in 44 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 80 base runners on the campaign with 31.3% of them earned a run for their team. White Sox bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 55 times and also have had 51 appearances in high leverage situations. The White Sox have dispatched 177 relievers to the mound on the year. The relievers have tallied 28 holds on the campaign (21st in the league). They have accumulated 5 saves for the season and have blown 11 of 16 chances to get a save.

The White Sox have turned 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,182 innings on the diamond, ranking them 15th in MLB. The Chicago Cubs have accounted for 1,394 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 443 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .978 which ranks 29th in pro baseball, and they have turned 42 double plays.

Smith has thrown 53 innings and is sitting with 49 K's in his MLB career. Smith (1-3 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.34 and he has faced 223 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 2.37 (14 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.111. He has allowed 41 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 18 free passes.

The Mets have a team slugging % of .402 and they are recording 4.31 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have recorded 92 two-baggers, while taking a walk 198 times and putting up 233 runs. New York has 55 home runs this year and 224 RBIs. They have struck out on 412 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have tallied 438 base knocks. The New York Mets have a team OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .245 so far this season.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.244 in addition to having a FIP of 3.34 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (482 strikeouts vs 197 free passes). They come in at 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 400. They have allowed 34 homers and they yield 3.24 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The New York pitching staff have conceded 173 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 2.78 (148 earned runs yielded).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.1% out of 79 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 70 times in high leverage situations in addition to 53 occasions with base runners. With 61 save situations, the Mets have 38 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They sit at 12th in the league holding a save percentage of 65.2%, and they have sent 173 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year. New York has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 23 save opportunities and they have recorded 15 saves.

In 4,320 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (13th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 43 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in baseball). The Mets have recorded 486 assists, 26 errors and have earned a total of 1,440 putouts this season.

Thus far in his career, Canning has given up 539 base knocks and he has 530 K's in 558 innings. Canning (30-35 record in his career) has earned a 4.61 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 286 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.332 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and he has faced 2,384 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-275)

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