Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 5/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-122) Atlanta (+102)

The Cincinnati Reds (18-18) are traveling to Truist Park on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (16-18). The line on this matchup has Cincinnati at -122 and Atlanta is at +102. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Hunter Greene and Grant Holmes.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 7th in the league. They have accounted for 176 runs and have an OBP of .328. The Reds have recorded 54 doubles as a squad and have smacked 37 baseballs out of the park. They have 169 RBI's and 293 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate sits at .249. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .394 and have struck out 299 times, while taking a walk on 128 occasions.

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The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 3.65 this year (11th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 289 hitters. Reds pitchers have allowed 45 home runs and 142 total runs (14th in the league). They have walked 106 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.25 as a squad over the course of the season. Cincinnati has conceded 242 hits (7.0 per 9 innings) and also 126 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.12.

Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 25 times in addition to having 31 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 25 holds so far this season (7th in the league). The Reds bullpen have earned a save rate of 71.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 40 save situations. They have recorded 10 saves on the season and have missed out on 4 out of their 14 save chances. The relievers have inherited 39 runners this year and 28.2% of them crossed the plate. The Reds have sent 113 relievers to the mound this season.

The Reds have transformed 74.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,793 innings, which has them sitting at 1st in professional baseball. The Chicago White Sox have a tally of 931 putouts this year, in addition to 252 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them ranked 22nd in pro baseball, and have accumulated 16 double plays.

Greene has thrown 430 innings and has accumulated 540 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Greene (22-27 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.71 while he has gone up against 1,805 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.77 (180 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.160. He has given up 338 hits (7.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 161 walks.

The Atlanta Braves have compiled an OBP of .316 as well as a team batting average of .242 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 281 instances (16th in baseball) and have a total of 269 base knocks. Atlanta has hit 39 home runs over the course of the season and 129 RBIs. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .395 and they have an average of 4.09 runs per outing (17th in the league). They have recorded 47 doubles, while taking a walk 114 times as well as notching 135 runs.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.282 in addition to having a FIP of 4.30 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.80 (280 strikeouts against 112 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 256. They have yielded 42 long balls and they allow 4.42 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 141 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.26 (136 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 25 save situations, the Braves have recorded 13 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Atlanta has had relief pitchers enter the game in 12 save chances and they have come away with 7 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 38 times in high leverage situations and on 33 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.4% out of 44 inherited runners. They are ranked 20th in the league holding a save rate of 58.3%, and they have sent 104 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

In 2,586 innings on the field, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (8th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 22 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (6th in the majors). The Braves have racked up 290 assists, 13 errors and have amassed 862 putouts on the campaign.

During his career, Holmes has given up 88 hits while he has earned 105 punch outs in 102 innings. He has conceded 43 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.195 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 3.09 and he has gone up against 422 batters during his career. Holmes (4-3 career record) has a 3.79 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-122)

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