Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, June 30, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-122) Boston (+102)

The Cincinnati Reds (42-39) are en route to Fenway Park on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Boston Red Sox (40-42). The moneyline on this game has the Reds at -122 while the Red Sox are sitting at +102. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Chase Burns and Garrett Crochet.

Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .401 and have been called out on strikes 704 times, while taking a walk on 274 occasions. They have earned 356 RBI's and 670 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is at .247. The Reds have accumulated 135 doubles as a squad and have hit 88 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 372 runs scored while having a team OBP of .319. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.22. Reds pitchers have yielded 96 long balls and also 338 runs in total (16th in MLB). Cincinnati has allowed 627 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 307 earned runs. The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 3.85 so far this season (14th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 657 hitters. They have walked 248 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.17 as a team over the course of the season.

Reds pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 62 times as well as having 72 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 52 holds this season (8th in MLB). The Reds relief pitchers have a save percentage of 70.0% and have come into the game in 84 save situations. They have earned 21 saves for the year and have blown 9 out of their 30 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 94 base runners so far this season and 33.0% of them crossed home plate. The Reds have dispatched 274 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Reds have converted 71.9% of balls in play into outs out of 6,459 innings, ranking them 3rd in professional baseball. The Chicago White Sox have earned a total of 2,153 putouts on the year, in addition to 613 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which ranks 15th in the majors, and they have turned 48 double plays.

Burns has taken the mound for 5 frames and has earned 8 K's so far in his MLB career. Burns (0-0 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.32 while he has gone up against 21 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.40 (3 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.200. He has allowed 6 base hits (10.8 hits per nine innings) and has 0 walks.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .412 and they score 4.65 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have put up 149 two-baggers, while taking a walk 275 times and recording 381 runs. Boston has knocked in 98 HRs on the campaign to go along with 363 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 766 occasions (3rd in the league) and have earned a total of 697 hits. The Boston Red Sox have tallied an on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .247 over the course of the season.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.324 in addition to having a FIP of 3.91 as a unit on the campaign. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (700 strikeouts vs 282 free passes). They come in at 22nd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 690. They have allowed 82 home runs and they surrender 4.58 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 374 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.97 (324 earned runs relinquished).

Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 39 save opportunities and they have come away with 22 saves. They sit at 23rd in MLB with a save rate of 56.4%, and they have dispatched 270 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 110 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with runners on. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of their 109 inherited base runners. With 83 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 42 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 72 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .977 (29th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 748 assists, 69 errors and have notched a total of 2,204 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 6,612 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (26th in professional baseball).

Crochet (16-23 career mark) has a 2.88 earned run average and has given up 7.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.13 and he has faced 1,342 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 105 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.109 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Crochet has surrendered 260 hits while he has accumulated 429 K's in 328 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+102)

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