Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-150) Boston (+125)

The Boston Red Sox (41-44) will compete against the Cincinnati Reds (44-40) at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Reds at -150 and the Red Sox are coming in at +125. The betting total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Brady Singer and Richard Fitts.

The Reds have recorded 138 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 91 baseballs out of the stadium. Cincinnati is slugging .401 and have been rung up 733 times, while drawing a walk on 283 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in the league. They have 369 runs batted in in addition to 697 base knocks on the year, while their batting average comes in at .248. They are sitting with 387 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .320.

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The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 3.82 on the season (14th in the league), and the staff has struck out 675 hitters. Reds pitchers have conceded 100 home runs in addition to 347 total runs (14th in baseball). They have walked 261 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a unit so far this season. Cincinnati has surrendered 648 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 316 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.22.

The Reds have sent 284 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 101 base runners so far this year and 32.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have compiled 21 saves for the year and have blown 10 of 31 save opportunities. The Reds relievers have a save percentage of 67.7% and have come into the game in 86 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 53 holds for the year (8th in baseball). Reds pitchers have entered the game with players on base 65 times in addition to having 78 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have turned 72.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,702 innings, which has them ranked 2nd in baseball. The Chicago White Sox have accumulated 2,234 putouts so far this season, in addition to 641 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 13th in baseball, and have accumulated 48 double plays.

Singer (43-50 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.22 and he has faced 3,301 batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 773 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 250 walks. His ERA is 4.29 (367 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.328. Singer has taken the mound for 770 frames and is sitting with 721 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Boston Red Sox hold a team on-base percentage of .321 and a team batting average of .248 so far this season. They have struck out on 790 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have accounted for 727 hits. Boston has accumulated 102 home runs this season as well as 380 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .416 and they average 4.69 runs per game (9th in the league). They have recorded 159 two-baggers, while taking a walk 284 times and scoring 399 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have yielded 389 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.00 (338 earned runs given up). They have given up 84 home runs and they allow 4.60 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.333 and have a FIP of 3.95 as a squad on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.50 (716 strikeouts against 297 free passes). They come in at 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 718.

Boston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 39 save chances and they have tallied 22 saves. They are ranked 22nd in baseball holding a save percentage of 56.4%, and they have dispatched 280 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 111 times in high leverage situations and also on 86 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.8% out of 115 inherited runners. Sitting with 83 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 42 holds and also 17 blown saves.

In 6,855 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (25th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 73 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .978 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have 775 assists, 70 errors and have amassed 2,285 putouts during this campaign.

During his career, Fitts has allowed 43 hits while accumulating 30 strikeouts in 45 innings. He has allowed a total of 17 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.283 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.00 and he has faced 194 hitters during his pro baseball career. Fitts (0-4 record in his career) has earned a 3.38 earned run average and has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+125)

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