Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, May 30, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+162) Chicago (-196)

The Chicago Cubs (35-21) are hosting the Cincinnati Reds (28-29) at Wrigley Field on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Cincinnati at +162 while Chicago is at -196. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Andrew Abbott and Colin Rea.

The Reds have accrued 100 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 58 balls out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .398 and have been called out on strikes 508 times, while drawing a walk on 199 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, which has them at 9th in MLB. They have accounted for 252 RBI's as well as 478 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .248. They have earned 264 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .323.

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The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 3.78 on the campaign (15th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 455 hitters. Reds pitchers have relinquished 65 long balls and also 232 runs in total (15th in the league). They have walked 171 batters and their FIP is 4.09 as a unit on the season. Cincinnati has conceded 434 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 212 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.66 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.20.

Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 39 times and also have had 50 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 40 holds over the course of the season (3rd in the league). The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 65.2% and have come into the game in 65 save situations. They have compiled 15 saves on the campaign and have blown 8 of 23 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 62 runners over the course of the season with 33.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have dispatched 192 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Chicago White Sox have accounted for 1,515 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 436 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 12th in baseball, and they have turned 30 double plays. The Reds have converted 72.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 4,545 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in professional baseball.

Abbott has taken the ball for 287 innings and is sitting with 279 strikeouts thus far in his career. Abbott (22-16 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.46 and he has faced 1,210 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.51 (112 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.288. He has allowed 257 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 113 free passes.

Chicago has tallied 79 home runs on the campaign as well as 322 runs batted in. They have 105 two-baggers, while getting a free base 212 times as well as putting up 330 runs. The Chicago Cubs have compiled a team on-base percentage of .335 as well as a batting average of .262 for the year. The Cubs have a slugging percentage of .450 and they are recording 5.89 runs per game (1st in MLB). They have struck out on 441 occasions (20th in MLB) and are sitting with 512 base hits.

The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 235 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.89 (217 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 63 home runs and they surrender 4.21 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.276 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.03 as a squad on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.00 (449 strikeouts against 169 walks). They come in at 21st in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 472.

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% of 60 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 63 times in high leverage situations in addition to 43 occasions with base runners. With 62 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 39 holds and also 8 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have sent 195 relievers onto the field over the course of the season. Chicago has had relievers enter the game in 22 save chances and they have tallied 14 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 48 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in pro baseball). The Cubs have accrued 476 assists, 28 errors and have 1,508 putouts so far this year. In 4,524 innings played, the Cubs have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (15th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Rea has surrendered 478 base hits while he has totaled 406 strikeouts in 492 frames. He has allowed a total of 244 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.279 and having a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.67 and he has faced 2,097 batters during his career. Rea (29-21 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.46 earned run average and has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-196) and under 8.5 runs

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