Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 5/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Monday, May 26, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+125) Kansas City (-145)

Kauffman Stadium is the location where the Kansas City Royals (28-23) will meet the Cincinnati Reds (25-26) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Reds at +125 and the Royals are priced at -145. The over/under has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Nick Martinez and Michael Lorenzen.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .391 and have been called out on strikes 457 times, while drawing a walk on 175 occasions. They have accounted for 220 RBI's and 412 base knocks this year, and their batting average sits at .241. The Reds have recorded 89 doubles as a squad and have hit 53 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 228 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .317. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.5 runs/g, which ranks them 11th in the league.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17. Reds pitchers have given up 55 home runs and also 195 runs in total (10th in the league). Cincinnati has conceded 374 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 175 earned runs. The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 3.48 for the season (9th in the league), and their staff has rung up 418 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 154 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.97 as a team for the year.

The Reds relievers have a save rate of 70.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 62 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 54 runners this year with 29.6% of them crossed home plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 35 times in addition to having 47 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 171 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen have tallied 40 holds over the course of the season (2nd in the league). They have 14 saves for the season and have blown 6 out of their 20 save opportunities.

The Reds have converted 72.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 4,068 innings, ranking them 3rd in pro baseball. The Chicago White Sox have a tally of 1,356 putouts this year, in addition to 397 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which is 18th in MLB, and have a total of 27 double plays.

Martinez has thrown 831 innings and has accumulated 597 K's thus far in his career. Martinez (39-50 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.99 while he has gone up against 3,534 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.05 (374 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.311. He has surrendered 830 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 260 walks.

The Royals have a slugging percentage of .366 and they have an average of 3.37 runs per game (26th in the league). They have recorded 87 doubles, while taking a walk 124 times as well as racking up 172 runs. Kansas City has tallied 32 home runs so far this year to go along with 170 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 354 occasions (29th in the league) and have earned a total of 418 base knocks. The Kansas City Royals have accounted for an OBP of .300 as well as a batting average of .245 on the season.

The Royals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.180 with a FIP of 3.59 as a team on the season. They are sitting at 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 396. The Kansas City pitching staff have allowed 168 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.03 (153 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.10 (408 strikeouts vs 140 walks). They have yielded 45 long balls and they yield 3.33 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

Kansas City relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.1% of 59 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 53 times in high leverage situations and also on 46 occasions with runners on base. With 47 save situations, the Royals have 27 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 1st in MLB holding a save percentage of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 158 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Kansas City has called on relievers to enter the game in 20 save opportunities and they have walked away with 16 saves.

In 4,089 innings played, the Royals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (10th in pro baseball). The Kansas City Royals have turned 47 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in MLB). The Royals have racked up 470 assists, 20 errors and are sitting with 1,363 putouts during this campaign.

During his career, Lorenzen has surrendered 829 hits while accumulating 749 K's in 911 innings. He has given up 403 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.309 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.06 and he has faced 3,851 opposing batters during his MLB career. Lorenzen (50-49 career record) holds a 3.98 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+125)

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