Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, July 18, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+110) New York (-132)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (55-42) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (50-47) on Friday. The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +110 and New York is opening at -132. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Nick Lodolo and Clay Holmes.

The Reds have compiled 156 doubles as a team and have knocked 103 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .397 and have struck out 842 times, while drawing a walk on 317 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in baseball. They have accumulated 417 runs batted in in addition to 800 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .246. They have racked up 441 runs scored and have an OBP of .317.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have allowed 114 home runs and 410 runs (16th in the league). Cincinnati has surrendered 761 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 373 earned runs. The Reds have an ERA of 3.91 for the year (17th in the league), and they have struck out 783 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 302 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a team for the season.

The Reds relievers have a save percentage of 67.6% and have come into the game in 95 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 base runners so far this year and 33.6% of those players earned a run for their team. Reds pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 78 times and also have had 86 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 327 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 59 holds over the course of the season (10th in baseball). They have recorded 23 saves so far this season and have missed out on 11 of their 34 save opportunities.

The Reds have turned 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,719 innings, which ranks them 4th in pro baseball. The Chicago White Sox have a tally of 2,573 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 739 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 19th in baseball, and they have turned 58 double plays.

Lodolo has pitched in 359 innings and has accumulated 397 strikeouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 4.18 (167 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.239. He has surrendered 337 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 108 free passes. Lodolo (21-20 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.12 while going up against 1,543 hitters in the majors.

New York has a total of 124 home runs so far this season as well as 416 runs batted in. They have 152 doubles, while taking a walk 334 times as well as putting up 426 runs. The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .244 this season. The Mets hold a slugging % of .415 and they average 4.39 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 769 instances (19th in MLB) and have totaled 788 hits.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.298 and have a FIP of 3.76 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They rank 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 768. The New York pitching staff have yielded 381 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.56 (340 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (827 strikeouts vs 348 bases on balls). They have conceded 83 long balls and they yield 3.99 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 45 save chances and they have come away with 28 saves. They rank 14th in the league with a save rate of 62.2%, and they have dispatched 309 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 117 times in high leverage situations in addition to 105 occasions with base runners. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.8% out of their 160 inherited runners. Sitting with 107 save situations, the Mets have recorded 62 holds and also 17 blown saves.

In 7,743 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 77 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 885 assists, 45 errors and have earned a total of 2,581 putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Holmes has given up 375 hits while totaling 443 strikeouts in 440 innings pitched. Holmes (32-26 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.62 earned run average and has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 177 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.293 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.28 and he has faced 1,892 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

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